We wanted to highlight some notes from the Skybridge Alternative Conference, a.k.a. SALT 2013 taking place in Vegas this week. Lee Cooperman of Omega Advisors gave his thoughts on the market and some of his holdings.
Market Thoughts From Cooperman
Cooperman says the market might be a little ahead of itself, the economy is limping along. He doesn't see a reason for the market to decline a lot and says the only two ways that would happen is 1. a recession and 2. the market getting too frothy and the Fed removing quantitative easing.
The Omega Advisors man argued that the economic cycle could be longer than usual and also noted that many investors have de-risked since the financial crisis. That said, he feels the market is ahead of the fundamentals.
Cooperman's Stock Picks
When asked where he would put new money to work today, he said he'd look to add to existing positions in his portfolio and singled out Monitise in the UK. We highlighted Cooperman's Monitise stake before as it's a mobile wallet platform.
He also revealed he's been buying an engineering and construction firm Technip, involved in LNG platforms and after exiting Apple earlier, he's dipped back in around the low $400's in a "small size" position.
The Omega founder was asked about housing plays and noted he's missed the homebuilder trade, but has exposure via proxies like Ocwen Financial (OCN) and Altisource Portfolio Solutions (ASPS). This week at the Ira Sohn Conference, Steve Eisman pitched OCN as a long.
Cooperman also touched on some other of his holdings that are trading below book value that he thinks are attractive: American International Group (AIG), MetLife (MET), and Citigroup (C).
Omega also owns Facebook (FB) and they think people are underestimating the mobility opportunity and can achieve a much higher multiple.
At the SALT Conference, Cooperman was on the best ideas panel as well and said he likes Express Scripts (ESRX), the pharmacy benefit management company and Transocean (RIG), the deepwater driller.
Embedded below is a clip of Cooperman on CNBC from the SALT conference:
Lee Cooperman was named as one of the top 10 highest paid hedge fund managers of 2012.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Lee Cooperman at the Skybridge Alternatives Conference (SALT 2013): Stockpicks & Market Thoughts
Thursday, November 8, 2012
James Grant Likes Gold & Metropolitan Life: Invest For Kids Chicago
Next up in our notes from Invest For Kids Chicago is James Grant of Grant's Interest Rate Observer.
• Grant founded his firm is 1983 and called Japanese bubble and housing bubbles
• Tongue in cheek legal disclaimer is that “Congress shall make no law abridging the freedom of the press”
Grant's First Idea: Metropolitan Life
• Metropolitan Life
o Japanese life insurers died out in long run.
o 825 billion of assets - a great franchise
o Long due to potential for dividend.
Grant's Second Idea: Gold
• Gold: is a “legacy monetary asset”
• 1920 there was a depression (not Great Depression). 18 months after peak then industrial production jumped significantly
• "I'm a professional interest rate observer. There are none"
• Grant notes interest rates move in generational cycles
Grant is obviously not alone in his fondness for the precious metal as numerous hedge funds own gold for a myriad of reasons. Some own it as a hedge against inflation or currency debasement, while others view it as an uncertainty hedge.
For the rest of the hedge fund presentations from the event, head to notes from Invest For Kids Chicago.
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Delivering Alpha Best Ideas Panel: Cooperman, Chanos, Feldstein & More
CNBC and Institutional Investor's Delivering Alpha Conference is going on today and we wanted to aggregate the highlights. The "best ideas" panel included Omega Advisors' Leon Cooperman, Kynikos Associates' Jim Chanos, BlueMountain Capital's Andrew Feldstein, Queen Anne's Gate Capital's Kathleen Kelley, and BlackRock's Robert Kapito.
From the conference, we've also posted up the global opportunities panel as well as the chasing yield panel.
Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors): He pitched going long US stocks and called them the best house in the financial neighborhood, a tune he has been singing for well over a year. However, he did make an excellent point that the maximum "pain trade" is going higher as tons of people are sitting on large sums of cash earning nothing.
As for specific names he likes: Capital One (COF), Express Scripts (ESRX), Halliburton (HAL), Gannett (GCI), Kinder Morgan (KMI), MetLife (MET), Qualcomm (QCOM), Watson Pharma (WPI) and Western Union (WU). He also likes AIA Group (1299.HK) traded in Hong Kong.
The Omega Advisors founder also continued to bash bonds, saying "buying US bonds right now is like walking in front of a steam roller and picking up dimes. It's just not a good policy."
As far as the election goes, he thinks that if Romney wins, the market will spike by 150 points, but if Obama wins, it drifts lower. For more from the Omega man, we just posted up Leon Cooperman on 14 attributes that make a good portfolio manager.
Jim Chanos (Kynikos Associates): The noted short-seller was out again negative on tech companies. He mainly pitched the bear case on Hewlett Packard (HPQ), calling it a value trap. We just recently highlighted Chanos' presentation on global value traps where HPQ was highlighted among other names.
He says that "when you lose the paradigm shift, you spend an awful lot of money defending what you have." He compared HPQ to Eastman Kodak as the company is in declining businesses.
Chanos also touched on how instead of giving cash back to shareholders,
companies will make value-destroying acquisitions. He cited HPQ's buy
of Autonomy last year. The Kynikos man argues that HPQ has overspent on acquisitions and they're hiding research & development expenditures through them.
He's also negative on Dell (DELL) saying that the company finances its subprime customers (financing their revenue growth). For more on Chanos we just recently posted up his thoughts on the psychology of short selling.
Andrew Feldstein (BlueMountain Capital): He likes less liquid credit, angling for 8-12% returns over a 3-7 year time horizon. He says you have to be patient as this opportunity is available due to everyone's obsession with liquidity (i.e. don't put your money here if you don't have an appropriate time horizon). He mentioned bonds such as Prospect Medical if you can buy and hold. Feldstein also mentioned he's less excited about legacy distressed assets in Europe.
Kathleen Kelley (Queen Anne's Gate Capital): Formerly of Tudor and Kingdon, she pitched two ideas: short the British pound (against long US dollar) as well as short platinum, targeting 20-30% moves to the downside. She wants to be long the USD against the sterling because the USD can be a commodity currency.
She also likes shorting platinum as there's an oversupply due to slowing Euro auto sales. At the Ira Sohn conference two months ago, Ospraie's Dwight Anderson pitched going short platinum as well (in addition to going long palladium).
Robert Kapito (BlackRock): He's going for the "income hog" approach by focusing on equity dividend funds, dividend stocks like AT&T (T), Verizon (VZ), Merck (MRK), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), high yield bond funds (or individual issues from Sprint, Ally) and municipal bonds such as the San Francisco Airport, New Jersey Tolls. He thinks that default worry surrounding munis is "overrated."
Sources: Notes sent by readers, II's blog, @iimag, @ldelevingne, @footnoted, @aarontask
For more from Delivering Alpha, head to the global opportunities panel (featuring Richard Perry) as well as the hunt for yield panel (featuring Marc Lasry)
Thursday, June 30, 2011
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