Showing posts with label 13f. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 13f. Show all posts

Monday, September 28, 2020

Reasons to Oppose the SEC's New 13F Proposal

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has proposed amendments to 13F filings.  Currently, investment managers with holdings of US securities totaling $100 million or more are required to file a 13F each quarter.  The proposal seeks to increase that level 35x to managers holding $3.5 billion or more.

The result?  A 90% reduction in the number of 13Fs filed.  This would reduce the number of hedge funds that file from 800 down to less than 100.  It would decrease total filers from around 5,283 to a mere 549.   $2.3 trillion in investment holdings would no longer be disclosed.

The proposal lays out the pros of making this change, so herein we'll examine the counterpoints to their arguments and the cons of making such a drastic change.  

There's also information at the bottom on how you can provide feedback to the SEC.  The deadline to submit comment is tomorrow (September 29th, 2020).


Counterpoints to the SEC's 13F Proposal

1) 13F Filing Costs For Managers Are Negligible

The SEC's main rationale for the proposal is that it would provide relief for smaller managers.  It argues that smaller managers that would no longer file 13Fs would save direct compliance costs that "could range from $15,000 to $30,000 annually per manager."

One hedge fund told us that at worst they see around $3,500 in costs per quarter to file a 13F, or around $14,000 per year, just below the low-end of the SEC's estimates.  Another hedge fund noted that costs and time associated with filing 13Fs are negligible.  Any 'relief' that would fall to smaller managers is de minimis, at best. 

Examining a hypothetical scenario of firms currently most impacted showcases this: a firm managing $100 million with only a 1% management fee and no performance fee theoretically earns $1 million in revenue a year.  Taking the SEC's highest estimate of yearly filing costs ($30,000) and dividing that by the firm's hypothetical yearly revenue ($1 million) means that annual filing costs would be only 3% of revenue.

And using the SEC's own estimates, that's the worst case scenario since it's the smallest firm required to file a 13F.  A $500 million firm in the same scenario would only spend 0.6% of its revenue on 13F filings a year, while a $1 billion firm would only spend 0.3% of revenue on 13F filings a year, and so on.   

Given the technological advancements implemented by the SEC such as XBRL and automation, it's easier and cheaper than ever to submit a 13F.  Filings are straightforward and not time consuming.



2)  It's Hard To Front-Run Someone 6 Weeks Later 

The proposal argues that there are also "indirect costs faced by smaller managers, such as those associated with potential front-running."

A frontrunner is defined as: one who trades “in front of an expected trade by another investor, thereby making the same trade on the terms the other investor would otherwise have got.” 

13Fs are filed with the SEC 45 days after quarter-end.  It's hard to front-run someone if you're receiving the information of their actions six weeks later.  This argument does not hold weight and would only apply to unique situations such as illiquid shares.  The time-delayed reporting of holdings via 13F filing already nullifies the vast majority of any potential front-running.

 

3)  Negative Consequences for Smaller Managers

The SEC must also consider the negative ramifications for smaller managers who would no longer file 13Fs.  Many limited partners utilize 13Fs to corroborate portfolio level details of managers they're invested in.  This helps prevent another Madoff situation and furthers transparency.

It would also reduce small manager discovery.  One institutional allocator told us that under the proposal, it would be increasingly difficult for them to consider investing in smaller managers due to the lack of transparency that otherwise aides in monitoring of potential managers to allocate capital to.



4)  Drastically Reduces Transparency & Limits Future Academic Research 

The loss of 90% of 13F filers and $2.3 trillion of investment holdings will drastically reduce market transparency and should be reason enough to reject the proposal.  It would also hinder academic research about markets and securities.  In a world that's becoming more data-driven by the day, going in the opposite direction is not progress.



5)  Capital Formation Exists in Current Setup

An argument can be made that the fact that X respected investor invests in Y stock leads to capital formation because other investors are then more inclined to examine and potentially invest in a company they might otherwise not have known about or bothered to look at.  This is particularly the case in small caps, where there's less sell-side coverage and less eyeballs on the companies in general.  

So capital formation can be achieved in the current structure because these managers are disclosing stakes in said companies. And again, due to the 45-day lag for disclosure, they are insulated from front-running.

And as far as we're aware, most investors want other people to be interested in and to buy the stocks they've already built stakes in.  Increased demand can lead to an increase in share price, thus benefiting the investor that already built a position, not burden them with increased costs as the proposal suggests.  

Idea sharing will happen regardless of the proposal or not via idea dinners, conferences, passing around quarterly letters, instant/direct messages, email, word of mouth, etc.  Humans by nature are mimetic beings.



6)  Investors & Companies Won't Know The Shareholder Base; Public Companies Will See Increased Costs & Time

Removing 90% of 13F filers drastically reduces the data available to companies as to who their shareholder base is, especially in small and mid cap names.  While major holders are revealed via 13D, 13G, and Form 4 filings, the rest of the shareholder base would become opaque.

When asked if the proposal would result in increased costs and time for their publicly traded company, one head of investor relations at a small cap replied, "Definitely." 

They also noted they're "not entirely sure how to prove who is actually a (share)holder" for companies that don't pay a dividend, while companies that do pay one can glean some potential insight.

Another investor relations professional said that the proposal would add costs for their company each year because they'll have to pay a firm to analyze trading activity in their shares to figure out the rest of the shareholder base.  And even then, this data wouldn't be accurate or even complete.

Investors also often want to know who their fellow shareholders are, particularly when it comes to hedge fund 'crowding.'

Also, the National Investor Relations Institute (NIRI) submitted a letter on behalf of 237 publicly traded companies, 26 investor relations consulting firms, and five industry associations.  All of them oppose the SEC's proposal.  This includes the likes of Sherwin-Williams, Mastercard, Chipotle, FedEx, Procter & Gamble, Marriott, Delta Air Lines, among many others.

Lastly, the NYSE along with 381 undersigned public companies also sent a letter opposing the proposal.



7)  Commissioner Allison Herren Lee Opposes the Proposal

Via a statement published on the SEC's website here, she writes:

"I am concerned that the projected cost savings in today’s proposal are greatly overstated and wholly inconsistent with the Commission’s past analysis—and, importantly, that the actual cost savings do not justify the loss of visibility into portfolios controlling $2.3 trillion in assets. Additionally, the Commission’s assertion of authority to raise the threshold conflicts with the plain text in the Exchange Act that requires us to collect the information. Specifically, section 13(f)(1) withholds authority from the Commission to raise the threshold, and the proposal fails to address that conflict."

 

8)  Negative Public Response

In a poll asking if the SEC's proposal was a good idea or not, 75% of respondents said it was a bad idea and 25% said it was a good idea.

A follow-up poll asked what the 13F filing threshold should be if the SEC is deadset on raising the limit:

62% of respondents said $500 million

29% of respondents said $1 billion

5% of respondents said the proposed $3.5 billion

4% of respondents said $5 billion or higher

Not to mention, the overwhelming majority of public comments the SEC has received thus far regarding the proposal have vehemently opposed it.  Here's a link to all the comments.

Additionally, here are a just a few of the headlines/articles reacting negatively to the proposal:

- Financial Times: SEC disclosure change would allow activists to 'go dark', lawyers warn

- Bloomberg: Goldman warns SEC proposal could shroud hedge fund crowding

- Nasdaq: President of Nasdaq says transparency is at risk with proposed changes to form 13F

- Harvard Law Forum on Corporate Governance: Adoption of the SEC’s current proposal would impede companies and their shareholders from promptly identifying the company’s institutional investors, hinder shareholder/public company engagement, and increase the potential for market abuse by sophisticated investors who wish to accumulate shares on a stealth basis

- Columbia Law School Blog on Corporations and the Capital Markets: Why the SEC's proposal to amend rule 13f-1 should fail

- National Investor Relations Institute: An average company would lose visibility into 55 percent of its current 13F filers and 69 percent of the hedge funds on its 13F list

- IHS Markit: An astounding 86% of (activist investors) would no longer be required to file 13F's

- CNBC: Jim Cramer rips SEC's proposed rule change for institutional investors


9)  Proposal Goes Against Original 13F Goals & SEC's Own Mission

Here are the original goals of the 13F (from page 9):

"The section 13(f) disclosure program had three primary goals. First, to create a central repository of historical and current data about the investment activities of institutional investment managers.  Second, to improve the body of factual data available regarding the holdings of institutional investment managers and thus facilitate consideration of the influence and impact of institutional investment managers on the securities markets and the public policy implications of that influence.  Third, to increase investor confidence in the integrity of the U.S. securities markets."

A higher reporting threshold resulting in a drastic reduction in the amount of data does not 'improve the body of factual data.'  It does the exact opposite.  Reduced transparency as a result of the proposal would decrease investor confidence, not increase it as the original goal states.  And the repository of historical data would be severely impaired going forward.

The SEC's own website lists its mission as:  "The mission of the SEC is to protect investors; maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets; and facilitate capital formation. The SEC strives to promote a market environment that is worthy of the public's trust."

The proposal severely reduces transparency, which does not protect investors.  Such reduced transparency also erodes the environment of public trust that the SEC aims to achieve.

If the SEC is deadset on raising the filing threshold for the sake of modernization or to reduce its own burden, utilizing the inflation metric and setting the threshold at ~$500 million would reduce the number of filers by 50% (thus reducing any burdens on both the SEC & the smallest managers) while maintaining more transparency.  The poll above also shows this is more palatable than the proposal's $3.5 billion threshold. 

Simply put though, the negatives associated with the proposal greatly outweigh any perceived positives.

 

How to Provide Feedback to the SEC

The SEC is seeking input on the proposal and the deadline for comment is tomorrow (September 29th).  You can submit your feedback via these methods:

- Send an email to: rule-comments@sec.gov and make the Subject: S7-08-20

or

- Go to the comment page: https://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed.shtml?  and then click on "Submit comments on S7-08-20"



Thursday, October 11, 2018

Trian Partners Discloses PPG Industries Stake

Nelson Peltz's Trian Partners has filed an amended 13F with the SEC.  In it, they reveal a new position in PPG Industries (PPG).  As of the end of the second quarter, they owned 2.59 million shares. 

They had previously disclosed this information privately to the SEC and requested confidential treatment. 

It's unclear what their position size is currently, and we won't see it until they update their 13F as of the end of the third quarter.  That filing will come in mid-to-late November. 

The paints and coatings company recently reported earnings and guidance, and shares sold off sharply on the news.


Monday, June 30, 2014

Peltz's Trian Discloses New Stake in Bank of New York Mellon

Nelson Peltz's activist investment firm Trian Partners has filed an amended 13F with the SEC.  Per the filing, they've disclosed a new position in Bank of New York Mellon (BK).  This amendment was made to their first quarter 2014 13F filing.

This means that they owned 9,330,230 shares as of March 31st, 2014.  In their original Q1 13F, Trian had filed for confidential treatment of their position with the SEC.

For more on this firm, we've posted some of Trian's Q1 letter.

Per Google Finance, Bank of New York Mellon is "a global financial services company. The Company divides its businesses into two principal segments: Investment Management and Investment Services. It has an Other segment, which includes credit-related activities, the lease financing portfolio, corporate treasury activities (including its investment securities portfolio), its equity investments in Wing Hang Bank Limited and ConvergEx Group, business exits and corporate overhead. Its two banks are The Bank of New York Mellon, which houses its institutional businesses, including asset servicing, issuer services, treasury services, broker-dealer and advisor services and the bank-advised business of asset management, and BNY Mellon, National Association (BNY Mellon, N.A.), which houses its wealth management business. In May 2014, the Company acquired HedgeMark International, LLC, a provider of hedge fund managed account and risk analytic services."


Friday, April 19, 2013

Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management Discloses Mondelez & PepsiCo Stakes

Nelson Peltz's investment firm Trian Fund Management today filed an amended 13F filing with the SEC for the fourth quarter of 2012.  This filing, detailing positions as of December 31st, 2012 now shows that Trian had positions in Mondelez International (MDLZ) and PepsiCo (PEP) at the end of the year.

According to the filing, Trian's position in MDLZ totaled 19,415,193 shares at the time.  Their stake in PEP consisted of 3,932,663 shares.


Mondelez (MDLZ) Stake

It is extremely likely that this is not a new position for Trian and here's why:  Mondelez is a product of the Kraft split up into Kraft Foods (KRFT) and MDLZ in Q4.  Peltz's firm had been an owner of the old Kraft entity (old ticker KFT) back in the third quarter of 2012 per their 13F from that quarter.  KFT split up into KRFT and MDLZ on October 1st, 2012.

Trian's original 13F filing from the end of December did not show a stake in either entity, so many assumed that Trian had sold completely out of anything Kraft related in the fourth quarter.  However, their 13F also indicated that "confidential information has been omitted" from the filing and was filed separately with the SEC.

Fast forward to today when they file an amended 13F and all of a sudden a stake in Mondelez shows up again.  It then becomes clear that MDLZ (as well as PEP) were the confidential positions.  

As such, Trian most likely never sold MDLZ after they received shares from the Kraft spin-off and we assume they just didn't disclose the stake in their public 13F, but filed the position separately with the SEC.  While there's a chance they could have just bought shares in the open market post-spin, that seems less likely given their past ownership of the old Kraft entity pre-spin.

This week, we also highlighted that Bill Ackman's Pershing Square also filed an amended 13F from Q4 and also revealed a Mondelez position.  Also, hedge fund Scout Capital reported a large MDLZ stake at that time as well.


New PepsiCo (PEP) Stake: Seeking to Merge Companies?

Trian's position in Pepsi, on the other hand, is a brand new stake as they previously did not own any shares.  The Daily Telegraph has speculated that Peltz might potentially have plans to attempt to merge the two companies together.

At the same time, the piece mentions that Peltz could pursue activism with PepsiCo alone, potentially pushing them to split-up just like the old Kraft entity did. 

At the time the Telegraph piece was originally published, it was rumored that Trian had taken stakes in the companies.  And today, we get confirmation of those rumors via SEC filing.  We'll have to wait and see if Peltz has any activist tricks up his sleeve.


Monday, April 15, 2013

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Discloses Mondelez Position

Bill Ackman's hedge fund firm Pershing Square Capital Management just filed an amended 13F with the SEC regarding their portfolio as of the end of 2012.  In it, they add a new holding entry: Mondelez International (MDLZ). 

As of December 31st, Pershing Square reports owning 5,978,214 shares.  This is a small position (worth around $179 million) compared to the rest of Pershing's portfolio, but is still worth mentioning as it's a new disclosure.

Last year, Kraft (former ticker KFT) split up into Kraft Foods (new ticker KRFT) and Mondelez International (new ticker MDLZ).  KRFT houses Kraft's North American grocery business and is seen as a steady cashflow generating, dividend income-type stock.  MDLZ, on the other hand, is seen as the growth engine, housing the snacks business with international exposure.

Pershing Square has not disclosed a position in KRFT and only has revealed their stake in the post-split shares of MDLZ.


Ackman Owned Kraft in the Past

This will not be the first time Ackman's hedge fund has had exposure to a Kraft entity.  In fact, he even published a presentation on Kraft back in 2010.  Interestingly, Pershing Square owned Kraft shares before the split but sold their entire stake in the former Kraft entity in the second quarter of 2012.   Ackman dumped shares sometime between March 30th and June 30th.

What's unclear, however, is if Ackman re-bought into the old Kraft entity before the split and received his MDLZ shares that way, or if he simply bought shares in the open market after the split was complete.  Regardless, he owned MDLZ shares at the end of 2012 and has just now revealed this via an amended 13F filing.


Other Hedge Funds That Own Mondelez

After the Kraft split, we've seen some hedge funds take large positions in the emerging markets-focused snack maker.  At the end of 2012, James Crichton and Adam Weiss's hedge fund Scout Capital was one of the largest institutional owners of MDLZ with over 27.5 million shares.  This was their largest position at the time, though there's no way to know if it still is.

Additionally, Nelson Peltz's firm Trian Fund Management has reportedly taken a stake in Mondelez (as well as PepsiCo) on speculation that he was possibly trying to merge the two entities together.  The Daily Telegraph reported that Peltz had spent $2 billion on shares of both companies.

However, it is definitely worth mentioning that back in the fourth quarter of 2012, Peltz's investment vehicle had sold completely out of its stake in MDLZ (as they did not disclose a position in their Q4 13F filing).  So while Peltz could have reversed course since then, he did not report ownership of a MDLZ stake as of December 31st.


About Mondelez

Per Google Finance, Mondelez is "is a maker of chocolate, biscuits, gum, candy, coffee and powdered beverages. The Company consists of the global snacking and food brands. Mondelez International's portfolio includes several brands, such as Cadbury and Milka chocolate, Jacobs coffee, LU, Nabisco and Oreo biscuits, Tang powdered beverages and Trident gums. The Company’s products include chocolates, cookies, gums, beverages and crackers. Alpen Gold is a chocolate brand in Russia. Alpen Gold is available in chocolate bars, boxed chocolates and creamy, mouth-watering pralines. Its markets include Poland, Russia and Ukraine. Bubbaloo is a gum brand sold in more than 25 countries and three different continents, including India, Mexico, Portugal and Spain. Belvita are breakfast biscuits made with wholegrain, cereals and fiber. It is sold in Belgium, France, Netherlands, United Kingdom and the United States."

For more on Pershing Square, head to our coverage of Bill Ackman's other positions.


Monday, October 8, 2012

The Pros and Cons of Tracking Hedge Funds Via 13F Filings


In Jim Chanos' recent interview with CNBC, he made comments about the 13F filings that hedge funds are required to file with the SEC each quarter and said investors should be wary of using them.  This post will present his comments and then present a counter-argument in a post we're calling: The Pros and Cons of Tracking Hedge Funds Via 13F Filings.


The Pitfalls of 13F Filings 

13F filings disclose hedge fund long positions in US equity markets, American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), both put and call options, as well as convertible notes.  They do not disclose short sales, cash positions, or any other asset class.  Of these quarterly filings, Chanos said:

"If you don't know the other side of the book, it can be very misleading."

This is obviously true and is why 13F's have to be taken with a grain of salt.  Shorting is an essential part of a hedge fund.  After all, that's what puts the 'hedge' in hedge fund.

His statement is even more pertinent to funds that put on pairs trades or are trying to hedge out certain exposures.

Chanos gave a perfect example where he is short Hewlett Packard (HPQ) as his core position.  But he has hedged out enterprise exposure to the name by being long Microsoft (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL).  By hedging as such, Chanos is effectively shorting a segment of HPQ's business: laptops, printers, and anything "ink" related.

And that's the problem: the SEC filings will only disclose his longs in MSFT and ORCL.  Without him revealing that he is short HPQ, you would assume he is simply long those two stocks, which couldn't be further from the truth.  It's an incomplete picture.

Chanos' rationale could also apply to risk arbitrage focused funds.  One might look at the 13F's of these managers merely to see which merger deals they are playing.  That said, you have no clue how they've hedged out the position (unless they disclosed puts).


Why 13F's Are Worth Looking At

In his interview, Chanos went on to say:

"And I caution anyone looking at our 13F's, or any hedge fund's 13F's by the way... you don't see the other side of the book, and it's very scary to invest, just saying."

He's 100% right on one point:  They aren't required to publicly disclose their short positions so half of the portfolio equation is indeed missing.

HOWEVER, you also have to keep in mind that Chanos' hedge fund Kynikos Associates is a short-biased fund and they're net short.  Therefore, Chanos' 13F is different from that of other hedge funds because Kynikos' core positions (shorts) are hidden from disclosure, while their hedges (longs) are publicly disclosed.

Typical long/short equity funds are often the exact opposite, i.e. they are net long, so they reveal their core positions (longs) while their hedges (shorts) are hidden from public view.

So in Kynikos' case, it absolutely makes sense to disregard their 13F filing.  But for other hedge funds, it's worthwhile to look at 13F filings and here's why:

While some managers are more skilled on the short side and see solid performance attribution from that portion of their book, a big chunk of a fund's performance can often be attributed to their long positions.

In 2010, Alphaclone posted an article that compared actual hedge fund performance numbers to those of a portfolio cloning only the publicly disclosed long holdings via 13F filings.  The results were very interesting in that the 13F clone portfolio performance numbers were largely in line with those of the actual hedge fund performance numbers.  Their article comparing 2012 performance thus far shows the same results.

This is because net long funds have most of their capital invested in their long ideas and for the bulk of these managers, this is where their performance comes from.  This is why looking at 13F's for their longs makes sense.  That said, you can't just track any manager's 13F.  Tracking 13F's is only useful if you know which funds to track.

And even though Jim Chanos told viewers to be cautious when viewing 13F's, he admitted that his firm looks at them too: "If (a 13F) overlaps with one of our longs or shorts, sure my trade desk will flag it to me or head of research."


Keys To Tracking Hedge Funds Via 13F's

After tracking SEC filings for almost a decade, here are 7 keys we've learned to safely tracking hedge funds via 13F filings:

1.  Only track long-only or long/short equity fund managers: And add an asterisk to this point as well: only track managers that normally run net long.

Tracking global macro funds (Bridgewater, Tudor) or credit funds (Fortress, Cerberus) is misguided because the vast majority of their positions are in asset classes that they don't have to disclose (futures, commodities, bonds, currencies, etc).  And while quant funds (RenTec, AQR) often disclose stocks, following them is a folly because you have absolutely no idea why their algorithms bought in the first place. 


2.  Track funds that primarily invest in domestic markets:  13F's only disclose activity on domestic stock exchanges and do not reveal international holdings (except for ADR's).  Therefore, you want to keep an eye on funds that will have the vast majority of their equity exposure in the US.

If you follow international managers, just know that only a small slice of their portfolio would be disclosed (if they hold any US longs at all).  You'll have to track international managers via foreign regulatory disclosures as well (something Market Folly strives to do via this link for UK activity and this link for Hong Kong activity).

A manager that invests primarily abroad could disclose a position in a US-traded stock and if you're only looking at their 13F you'd think they've made a big wager when in reality that holding could be one of their smallest because you can't see their international plays.  You have to place domestic positions within the context of their entire (global) portfolio.


3. Focus on long-term investors with lower turnover: 13F's are filed on a delayed basis and it is basically a snapshot of a fund's portfolio from 45 days ago.  A manager can easily sell out of a position by the time a filing becomes public.

This is exactly why following long-term oriented funds is key: to reduce the effect of the delayed disclosures.  Long-term investors are more likely to hold on to positions for an extended period of time.

Many long/short equity hedge funds actively trade around positions and so manager selection for 13F tracking is crucial.

Readers constantly ask us to cover activity from well known funds Steve Cohen's SAC Capital due to popularity, so we oblige.  But in reality, SAC is a horrible fund to track via SEC filings due to the fact that they actively trade in and out of stocks (not to mention there's a ton of portfolio managers each doing their own thing).

This is why value investors are often good bets to track: they buy and hold (or at least typically hold longer than one quarter!)  Even so, through backtesting 13F's, Alphaclone found that for most L/S funds, the "average holding periods are much longer than most people perceive them to be."  So the effect of the delay in disclosures is smaller than you think.  They've found the average holding period to be around 1 year.

Managers that run concentrated portfolios are also usually good bets because they have lower turnover and every position adjustment they make is that much more important to their portfolio.  The same can be said for activist investors (for example ValueAct Capital) that take a stake in a company and try to help implement positive change over longer periods of time.


4. Look at a fund's larger positions (top 30 holdings or so):  The rationale here is to focus on their core positions that represent a larger percentage of their portfolio because most money managers allocate the most capital to their best ideas.  It's also worthwhile to place an emphasis on stocks that show up as 'new positions' in their disclosures as these are their most recent ideas.

Some investment managers hold hundreds of positions (Soros Fund) and as you go down the list of their holdings, each stake becomes a much smaller percentage of their portfolio.  It's much easier for funds to exit small positions and more often than not, these are lower conviction bets. 

Additionally, sometimes these smaller positions aren't what they seem.  In the past, we posted up a quote from T2 Partners' Whitney Tilson on why he had a small long position disclosed in his 13F in a stock he'd said publicly he was actually short:

"A lot of people make this mistake when reading 13-Fs: managers often own puts (which are also disclosed in the 13-F) or are short a stock (which isn’t disclosed) and then own a small offsetting long position to make it easy to trade around it."

Sometimes on 13F's, very small stock holdings are actually trading positions that hedge funds use to manage net exposure to a name they're actually net short.  So, focus on the upper echelon of their long portfolio. 


5. Take it with a grain of salt: The delayed nature of SEC filings means that you're looking at hedge fund activity in the rear view mirror, or in a tracking sense: following their footsteps.  While the effect of this delay isn't as bad as you think as illustrated earlier, there are many variables at play here.  Managers can move in and out of positions for any number of reasons.  So when viewing 13F's, remember that a) it's not their whole portfolio and b) it's a past snapshot.


6. Use it as a starting point to do more research:  Do your own due diligence.  It's one thing to know that ABC manager bought XYZ stock.  It's quite another to know the investment thesis behind *why* they bought the stock.

At the Value Investing Congress recently, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn mocked investors that don't do the work and just try to blindly follow him.

However, 13F's are a great place to find ideas.  Fairholme Capital's Bruce Berkowitz has said in the past, "We use a lot of grapevine ideas... Why not look at what other great investors have found?"  The key here is to use it as a starting place and then to do your due diligence.  

This is exactly what MarketFolly does with our premium newsletter: Hedge Fund Wisdom


7. Monitor all SEC filings, not just 13F's:  MarketFolly keeps you afloat of the latest hedge fund portfolio activity via 13G filings, 13D filings, as well as various Form 3 and Form 4's filed with the SEC.  These disclosures are filed on a more timely basis and provide a more current look at what managers are buying or selling.  They help bridge the time gap between quarterly 13F filings and hedge funds are required to disclose when they've purchased 5% or more of a company. 

Additionally, if you can track managers via their quarterly letters, annual meetings, and investment conference appearances, this gives you the most up-to-date information regarding their portfolio (at least what they choose to reveal).  MarketFolly tracks all of these via the links above.


Conclusion

Jim Chanos is 100% correct that you have to use caution when examining 13F's because they do not show the short side of a hedge fund's portfolio.  However, tracking the 13F's of equity focused hedge funds that run net long can be beneficial for idea generation provided you know which funds to track and that you take everything with a grain of salt.

Check out how we analyze hedge fund 13F filings in our premium newsletter: click here for a free past issue.


Monday, June 18, 2012

Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Reveals Lazard Stake

Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management has disclosed a 5.1% ownership stake in Lazard (LAZ).

Today the firm filed an amended 13F with the SEC for the first quarter which shows that they actually originally started acquiring shares in the first quarter.  In the amended filing, Trian disclosed they owned just over 5.5 million shares at the end of March.

So, why did Peltz buy a stake in Lazard?  We've posted up Trian's presentation on Lazard which they released today.

Lazard approved a plan in April to raise operating margins and to improve shareholder value via buybacks and dividends.  Trian is well-known for taking large ownership stakes in companies and implementing change, often through activist positions.

Per Google Finance, Lazard is "a financial advisory and asset management company. It operates in two segments: Financial Advisory, which offers a range of financial advisory services regarding mergers and acquisitions and other strategic matters and various other financial matters, and Asset Management, which includes strategies for the management of equity and fixed income securities and alternative investment and private equity funds, as well as wealth management. Lazard has diverse set of clients around the world, including corporations, governments, institutions, partnerships and individuals."

This is yet another new position by Trian as last month we detailed their activist position in Ingersoll-Rand as well.

For more on this fund, you can read excerpts from Trian's letter on some of their other investments here.


Tuesday, August 9, 2011

David Tepper's Appaloosa Sells Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC)?

David Tepper's hedge fund Appaloosa Management filed their 13F early with the SEC and in it are some noteworthy moves. The filing reflects portfolio activity as of June 30th, but it does give us a glimpse as to what he was up to in the second quarter.

The big talking point here is that in the second quarter, Tepper sold 41% of his position in Bank of America (BAC), selling over 7.2 million shares. He also sold 5% of his position in Wells Fargo (WFC) and 6% of his position in Citigroup (C), his top equity holding at the end of Q2.

However, David Faber at CNBC is hearing that Tepper has since sold completely out of BAC and WFC in recent weeks. He also apparently sold a chunk of his stake in C too. Tepper has not confirmed this though.

Turning back to the factual information from the 13F we do have though, Tepper also sold 54% of his stake in Hewlett Packard (HPQ).

In terms of new positions, Appaloosa started new stakes in Mosaic (MOS), Western Refining (WNR) and Google (GOOG). It's likely that Appaloosa took advantage of the MOS secondary as Dan Loeb's Third Point also bought MOS. Tepper also bought more CVR Energy (CVI) which we already highlighted back in June.

On the long side, refining seems to be a big theme for Appaloosa as they ramped up their stake in Valero (VLO) by 202% in the second quarter in addition to starting their stake in WNR. To see what other top hedge funds have been buying & selling, subscribe to our Hedge Fund Wisdom newsletter as a new issue is due out in just a week and a half.


Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Reveals Kraft (KFT) Stake

Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management just filed an amended 13F with the SEC and in it they reveal a stake in Kraft (KFT).

The new disclosure shows Trian owning 12,176,335 shares of KFT as of March 31st, 2011. Adding this data to their original filing, Trian's KFT position represented 18.3% of their reported assets at the time.

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital also owns a sizable stake in KFT and likes the opportunity for organic growth and margin expansion. You can view Pershing's presentation on Kraft here.

Nelson Peltz's business partner Peter May recently laid out Trian's bullish case for Tiffany & Co (TIF) at the Ira Sohn Investment Conference as well. In the past, we've also detailed some of Trian's portfolio activity.

Omitting Positions From 13F Filings

Trian Fund Management omitted the Kraft position in their original 13F filed on May 16th which included a note that reads, "confidential information has been omitted from this Form 13F report and filed separately with the Commission."

Trian most likely arranged this treatment with the SEC because they were still in the midst of acquiring their position and felt public disclosure would boost prices. Other large investors have utilized this technique in the past, with the most notable being Warren Buffett.

Also, we recently detailed a scenario where Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital filed information on their Family Dollar (FDO) position confidentially with the SEC and released the info to the public at a later date. It seems more and more prominent funds are being granted this treatment by the SEC so we'll have to monitor a potential growing trend.


Friday, May 27, 2011

Bill Ackman Discloses Size of Family Dollar (FDO) Position

Two days ago at the Ira Sohn Conference, Pershing Square's Bill Ackman pitched shares of Family Dollar (FDO) as an attractive investment. At the time, however, no one knew the exact size of his wager. Now, we do.

In an amended 13F filed with the SEC, Pershing Square Capital Management disclosed ownership of 5,764,187 shares of FDO. At current prices of around $55.50, that translates into almost a $320 million investment. Compared to the rest of Pershing's disclosed holdings, this represents about a 5% position.

Keep in mind, though, that this only represents his ownership stake as of March 31st. Since then, Ackman has been buying more shares. At the Ira Sohn Conference on Wednesday, he even mentioned his hedge fund was out buying shares that day. So, it's tough to say exactly how much larger his position is, but it is at the very least slightly larger than what is reported above.

The hedge fund manager thinks shares of Family Dollar are worth up to $92 (including dividends) and sees it as an attractive target for a leveraged buyout. You can see see the rest of Bill Ackman's portfolio in the brand new issue of our Hedge Fund Wisdom newsletter that was just released.

And if you missed it, check out our notes from the Ira Sohn Conference as well as part 2 of our notes here for more hedge fund manager presentations.


Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Top Hedge Funds That Own Apple (AAPL)

Continuing our coverage of Apple (AAPL) today, we present the top hedge funds that own Apple. After all, we've previously highlighted how Apple is the most important stock to hedge funds.

Without further ado, here is the breakdown of the top hedge fund owners of Apple as of September 30th, 2010. This data was taken from the most recent SEC 13F filings. The newest 13F's won't be released for about another month at which point we'll get an updated look as to who owned AAPL at 2010 year-end, so this data should be taken with a grain of salt. Keep in mind that MarketFolly.com will of course be analyzing the latest hedge fund positions in our newsletter, Hedge Fund Wisdom.


Hedge Funds That Own The Most Apple (AAPL):

1. Stephen Mandel's Lone Pine Capital: Owns 0.29% of AAPL (2,707,106 shares)

2. David Shaw's D.E. Shaw Investment Management: 0.26% of AAPL (2.39 million shares)

3. Jim Simons' Renaissance Technologies (RenTec): 0.21% of AAPL (1.96 million shares)

4. Shumway Capital Partners (Chris Shumway): 0.2% of AAPL (1.8 million shares)

5. Rob Citrone's Discovery Capital Management: 0.17% of AAPL (1.5 million shares)

6. Philippe Laffont's Coatue Management: 0.17% of AAPL (1.5 million shares)

7. Lee Ainslie's Maverick Capital: 0.15% of AAPL (1.3 million shares)

8. Chase Coleman's Tiger Global: 0.14% of AAPL (1.25 million shares)

9. John Griffin's Blue Ridge Capital: 0.13% of AAPL (1.22 million shares)

10. David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital: 0.09% of AAPL (837k shares)

11. Kleinheinz Capital Partners (John Kleinheinz): 0.09% of AAPL (782k shares)

12. Ken Griffin's Citadel Investment Group: 0.08% of AAPL (753k shares)

13. David Stemerman's Conatus Capital: 0.08% of AAPL (714k shares)

14. Kingdon Capital Management: 0.08% of AAPL (701k shares)

15. Jeff Vinik's Vinik Asset Management: 0.07% of AAPL (621k shares)


Of the list above, you'll notice an overarching theme: Tiger Cubs. Of the top hedge fund owners of AAPL, seven are 'Tiger Cub' hedge funds. These are funds that employ long/short equity strategies similar to those learned from the respective manager's time working at Julian Robertson's Tiger Management. This strategy focuses on intensive fundamental research and often focuses on value or G.A.R.P. (growth at a reasonable price) investments.

Singling out a few of the other managers on the list above, we previously detailed that Apple is Kleinheinz Capital's top position when we examined their letter to investors. Additionally, in the past we've touched on David Einhorn's rationale for buying Apple as his cost basis is around $248 per share.

Earlier this morning we highlighted Goldman Sachs' research on AAPL where they kept the stock on their Conviction Buy List despite CEO Steve Jobs' medical leave of absence. Additionally, we highlighted in-depth what this means for AAPL investors.

* If you found this article useful, you can find much more analysis on what the top hedge funds are investing in by receiving our free updates via email or via RSS reader.


Friday, November 19, 2010

See What Top Hedge Funds Are Buying & Selling

If you want the most comprehensive hedge fund portfolio tracking out there, then you've come to the right place. Hedge Fund Wisdom is MarketFolly.com's quarterly newsletter created in collaboration with other hedge fund analysts. Market Folly's expert analysis is your go-to source for hedge fund updates and our latest issue will be released early next week. Here's what you'll find in the upcoming third quarter issue:

- 80 pages detailing the latest portfolios of 23 top hedge funds
- Expert commentary detailing what they bought & sold and why

- In-depth equity analysis of 3 stocks hedgies were buying


Portfolios covered in this issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom include:

Seth Klarman (Baupost Group)
Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway)
David Einhorn (Greenlight Capital)
Stephen Mandel (Lone Pine Capital)
David Tepper (Appaloosa Management)
Bill Ackman (Pershing Square Capital Management)
Bruce Berkowitz (Fairholme Capital)
Chase Coleman (Tiger Global Management)
John Burbank (Passport Capital)
Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors)
Dan Loeb (Third Point)
John Griffin (Blue Ridge Capital)
John Paulson (Paulson & Co)
Lee Ainslie (Maverick Capital)
Julian Robertson (Tiger Management)
George Soros (Soros Fund Management)
Roberto Mignone (Bridger Management)
Chris Shumway (Shumway Capital Partners)
Richard Perry (Perry Capital)
Larry Robbins (Glenview Capital)

...and we added 3 new hedge funds this quarter:
Andreas Halvorsen (Viking Global)
Thomas Steyer (Farallon Capital)
Carl Icahn (Icahn Capital)

Take advantage of our special introductory offer! You can pay via credit card, debit card, or PayPal by clicking "subscribe" below (email readers please come to the site to do so):

1-Year Subscription (Save 17% with this option!): $199/year









Quarterly Subscription: $60/quarter






*To pay by credit/debit card, click the "subscribe" button and then on the next page look for "Pay using your credit or debit card" at the bottom.


Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Free Sample Issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom: Market Folly's Brand New Quarterly Newsletter

Want to know what top investment managers have been buying and selling? Last week we launched Hedge Fund Wisdom by Market Folly, our brand new quarterly newsletter in collaboration with professional hedge fund analysts/investors.

Our in-depth 75 page issue provides complete portfolio updates on 20 of the most prominent hedge funds along with commentary and analysis of their moves. Additionally, we take you inside the head of a hedge fund manager, examining the investment thesis of 3 stocks hedgies were buying.

Market Folly readers can receive a free sample issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom embedded below:




You can download a .pdf sample copy here.

To celebrate our launch, take advantage of a special introductory offer. You can checkout via PayPal or credit card below (email readers you'll have to come to the site in order to sign-up):

HFW Member - Annual (17% additional savings): $199/year








HFW Member - Quarterly (limited time offer): $60/quarter







To pay by credit card, look for the "No PayPal account? Pay using your credit or debit card" link at the bottom of the PayPal page you will be redirected to.


Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Introducing Hedge Fund Wisdom By Market Folly: A Quarterly Newsletter

Today we're very pleased to announce the first issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom, a brand new quarterly newsletter by Market Folly in collaboration with other professional hedge fund analysts/investors. Want to know what top managers have been buying and selling? Our in-depth 75 page issue is your complete guide.

Hedge Fund Wisdom by Market Folly includes the following:

- Complete portfolio updates on 20 of the most prominent hedge funds including what they bought, what they sold, and by how much

- Commentary and analysis of each fund's moves

- Consensus stocks bought & sold among the hedge funds covered

- In-depth analysis of 3 stocks hedge funds were buying in the second quarter. We take you inside the head of a hedge fund manager to examine the investment thesis, upside & downside, potential catalysts, market valuation, contrarian viewpoint, and more.


Managers covered in this inaugural issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom by Market Folly include:

Seth Klarman (Baupost Group)
Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway)
David Einhorn (Greenlight Capital)
Stephen Mandel (Lone Pine Capital)
David Tepper (Appaloosa Management)
Bill Ackman (Pershing Square Capital Management)
Bruce Berkowitz (Fairholme Capital)
Chase Coleman (Tiger Global Management)
John Burbank (Passport Capital)
Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors)
Dan Loeb (Third Point)
John Griffin (Blue Ridge Capital)
John Paulson (Paulson & Co)
Lee Ainslie (Maverick Capital)
Julian Robertson (Tiger Management)
George Soros (Soros Fund Management)
Roberto Mignone (Bridger Management)
Chris Shumway (Shumway Capital Partners)
Richard Perry (Perry Capital)
Larry Robbins (Glenview Capital)

To celebrate our launch, take advantage of our special introductory offer! Choose one of the following options to pay via PayPal or credit card:

HFW Member ~ Annual (most popular choice! lock in additional savings) @ $199/year









HFW Member - Quarterly (rates going up soon, limited time offer) @ $60/quarter






*To pay by credit card, look for the "No PayPal account? Pay using your credit or debit card" note at the bottom of the PayPal page you will be redirected to.

Also, you can enter your email address below to receive a free sample:










Get a Free Sample!

















Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Lesson on 13F's From Whitney Tilson & an Update on Their InterOil Short Position

Whitney Tilson, hedge fund manager of T2 Partners recently commented on the latest round of SEC 13F filings and how people tend to misread them. We thought this was an excellent time to continue our impromptu lessons on 13F filings that we started yesterday. Today's topics? Discerning net exposures in positions and distinguishing when ownership of common stock is not necessarily a long position. The following is printed with permission from Mr. Tilson regarding message board participants improperly reading his firm's 13F:

"It says a lot about who owns InterOil when folks on the company’s message boards are saying we’ve gone long the stock based on our 13-F. HA! This is a very large bearish bet for us. A lot of people make this mistake when reading 13-Fs: managers often own puts (which are also disclosed in the 13-F) or are short a stock (which isn’t disclosed) and then own a small offsetting long position to make it easy to trade around it.

In our case, our 13F shows that as of 6/30, we owned 1,623 put contracts (representing 162,300 shares of stock) on IOC and, in addition, were long a mere 10,400 shares. Puts can be very hard to trade, so we just bought more puts than we wanted and offset the extra amount by buying some stock, resulting in the desired net exposure. Then, if we want to increase or decrease our bearish bet, we can simply buy or sell the stock."

This just reinforces the need for investors to *read* 13F filings carefully. In particular, make sure to glance at the right-hand columns on the filing to distinguish whether a position is a stock option (put or call) rather than just common stock. Just yesterday, Bloomberg omitted options positions from an article on 13F analysis. And today, we see that message board readers have either overlooked the options portion of T2's filing or misinterpreted their common stock position.

T2's actions of buying puts and then buying a small slice of common stock illustrate an important example of liquidity and having the ability to trade around a position. This becomes even more important in stocks that are heavily shorted and can swing wildly with volatility. So if a hedge fund owns multiple securities of the same company, you have to assess the values of each individual security to ultimately determine if it is a bullish or bearish wager. And in T2 Partners' case, they own way more puts than common stock, resulting in an obvious bearish bet.

Tilson also updated us on T2 Partners' short position in IOC. We've detailed this stake numerous times in the past as it's rare you see fund managers talk openly about their short positions. As such, we've taken the opportunity below to highlight Tilson's recent thoughts on InterOil:

"We added to our bearish bet (yesterday), as InterOil reported Q2 earnings yesterday that reinforced our investment thesis. The earnings and EBITDA (driven by the refinery operation) are irrelevant for a company that has a $2.9 BILLION (not a typo) market cap; what really matters if whether there is, in fact, the Sierra Madre of oil and gas in the areas being explored by InterOil and, if so, whether they have the cash to find it, develop it commercially, etc.

Re: the former, there continues to be no proven or even probable reserves – just more hype and gibberish like this from the earnings release:

The Antelope 2 horizontal well confirmed a higher condensate-to-natural gas ratio of 20.4 barrels per million cubic feet of natural gas, 27% higher than observed at the top of the reservoir. The horizontal well also demonstrated dolomitization and higher porosity deeper in the reservoir than previously modeled.

And re. the cash, this company is going to hit the wall soon. Over the past four quarters, net income is -$1.3 million and free cash flow is -$181.9 million (cash from operating activities minus “expenditure on oil and gas properties” and “expenditure on plant and equipment, net of disposals”, broken down as follows:

Q3 09: -$48.6 million
Q4 09: -$40.7 million
Q1 10: -$28.5 million
Q2 10: -$64.1 million
TOTAL: $181.9 million)

So with no profits to fund such massively negative cash flows, how is InterOil doing it? Answer #1: Burning through cash (unrestricted cash has declined from $96.4 million a year ago to $31.7 million today). Answer #2: Taking on debt (the working capital facility – short-term debt – is up from $4.0 million a year ago to $57.7 million today, partly offset by a $9 million decline in a secured loan). Answer #3: Issuing stock and conversion of debt ($12.8 million over the past 12 months), resulting in the diluted share count rising 16.1%. Answer #4: Misc. other stuff (“Proceeds from IPI cash calls” ($15.2M in the first two quarters of 2010), “Proceeds received on sale of exploration assets” ($13.9M in Q1), and “Proceeds from Petromin for Elk and Antelope field development” ($5M over the past 12 months).

To summarize, InterOil has only $31.7 million in unrestricted cash as of June 30th and they’re burning an average of $45.5 million of cash each quarter. No wonder the company entered a short-term $25 million credit facility last week on distressed terms: 10% interest (in this environment!), secured by a 2.5% stake in InterOil’s Elk and Antelope fields. Note that the provider of financing was a very dicey outfit, Clarion Finanz and known stock promoter Carlo Civelli – see this post."

In the past, we've also highlighted some of T2's other short positions for those interested. And for more on interpreting SEC filings correctly, head to our post from yesterday regarding Eric Mindich's hedge fund Eton Park and lessons regarding 13F filings.


Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Gold is NOT Eric Mindich's Biggest Holding: A Memo to Bloomberg Regarding 13F Filings

Yesterday afternoon, Bloomberg ran a piece entitled, "Eric Mindich, Like John Paulson, Makes Gold ETF His Fund's Biggest Holding." There's just one problem with that headline: it's not really correct. Here at Market Folly, we pride ourselves on in-depth analysis of SEC Filings, and in particular, the 13F's that disclose the latest hedge fund investments. And today, we get the perfect chance to prove it.

The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is not the largest holding at Eric Mindich's hedge fund Eton Park Capital Management. As per the most recent 13F detailing positions as of June 30th, 2010, Eton Park's largest position is puts on the iShares MSCI Emerging Market Index (EEM). At quarter close, Mindich's position in GLD was valued at $800,289,000. His put position on EEM was valued at $895,680,000. In the second quarter, Eton Park actually increased their bet against EEM by 61%, buying puts representing 9,100,000 additional shares. Their put exposure on this name now represents 24,000,000 shares of EEM.

Maybe Bloomberg's data-set didn't take into consideration the put/call column on the actual filing. (Numerous automated data sorting programs skip over this and omit options positions entirely). Maybe it was an honest mistake. Maybe Bloomberg doesn't classify puts as an 'investment' and so it merely comes down to technicalities of the language used in their article. But even if that was the case, you still can't really call the SPDR Gold Trust their single 'biggest reported investment'.

Why? Well, because Eton Park also owns both puts and calls on GLD as well. In the second quarter, Mindich's hedge fund bought the following:

$800,289,000 worth of SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) shares
$608,400,000 worth of GLD calls
$486,720,000 worth of GLD puts

We don't know their true exposure to gold because a 13F filing does not disclose the strike price or expiration date of underlying options positions. However, you could net out their ownership of common shares, calls and puts to find that they have around $921,969,000 worth of long exposure to GLD. But you also have to keep in mind that Eton Park is an arbitrage focused fund. As such, all of these discrepancies are relevant to determine the type of wager they are making with various positions.

The only way that GLD is Eton Park's top holding is if Bloomberg is treating all of the above as gross exposure to GLD or if they are netting out the exposure as we have above. But even then, there was no mention of this in their article at all. They merely cited the $800 million position in the underlying shares. The fact that Bloomberg completely omitted the information that Eton Park owns both calls and puts on the same exchange traded fund is somewhat appalling. It's one thing to own just the shares of GLD as a directional bet (as they've mistakenly construed). It's entirely different when you add in ownership of both puts and calls on the underlying shares as those affect the net position and exposure. Nevermind that Bloomberg missed the fact that their standalone position of GLD shares are not Eton Park's 'biggest reported investment' in the first place.

The comical part of all of this is that Bloomberg completely skipped over Eton Park's options positions in both EEM and GLD, and yet they end their article with this note (emphasis added by MarketFolly):

"The SEC requires money managers who oversee more than $100 million in U.S. equities to report their holdings on a Form 13F within 45 days of the end of each quarter. The filing must include all holdings in stocks that trade on U.S. exchanges, as well as options and convertible debt."

Factually, Eton Park's largest single reported holding is in puts of the iShares MSCI Emerging Market Index (EEM). Their position in shares of the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is the second largest reported holding. But even then, there's some ambiguity surrounding their entire GLD exposure and the type of wager they're making when you consider the puts and calls they also own. This just goes to show that attention to detail is a must when examining SEC 13F filings.

Apologies for this little diatribe, but it's irritating when potential misinformation is floated around, especially by a mainstream media source. In the end, Bloomberg will probably update the article from 'biggest' holding to 'big' holding or something of the sort (with zero mention of Market Folly of course). That's perfectly fine, as long as they remedy the misinformation that's currently out there. Our readers know where to come for hedge fund portfolio updates.

Stay tuned this week as we are set to release an in-depth summary of the new batch of 13F filings and latest positions of the top hedge funds in the game. For more on Eric Mindich's hedge fund, we also detailed Eton Park's new Doral Financial (DRL) position.


Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Julian Robertson's Tiger Management Bets on Intel, Wal-Mart & Monsanto: 13F Q1 2010

(This post is part of our series on tracking hedge fund portfolios. If you're unfamiliar with tracking investments they disclose via SEC filings, check out our series preface on hedge fund filings.)

Next up is investment guru and legend Julian Robertson who founded one of the lauded hedge funds of the era, Tiger Management. He grew the fund from $8 million at inception to over $22 billion at its peak. Between 1980 and 2000, Tiger compounded a gross rate of 31.5%, but after losses of 4% in 1998 and 19% in 1999, Tiger shut down. For more information on Julian, check out Daniel Strackman's book entitled, Julian Robertson: A Tiger in the Land Of Bulls And Bears.

Since Tiger's dissolution, Robertson's former employees have started successful funds of their own, deemed the 'Tiger Cubs'. Additionally, Robertson has himself seeded some other managers with vast potential, dubbed the 'Tiger Seeds'. This vast and expansive network of hedge fund managers is almost akin to a farm system for stockpickers and we track the majority of these funds. To learn more about Tiger Management, head to our in-depth profile of Julian Robertson.

While his hedge fund Tiger Management closed down years ago, Julian Robertson still makes investments via the Tiger Management LLC vehicle as evidenced by SEC filings. As such, we will continue to track Robertson's holdings via this vehicle's public disclosures. In the past, we've gotten a tiny glimpse at Robertson's portfolio when in late 2009 we saw he had placed a bet that interest rates would rise in the future via constant maturity swaps. We haven't heard too much from him as of late but we'll of course post anything of interest in the future. If you want to jump back in time, we've posted an interview with Robertson from back in 1998 around Tiger's peak.

The positions listed below were Tiger Management's long equity, note, and options holdings as of March 31st, 2010 as filed with the SEC. All holdings are common stock unless otherwise denoted:


Brand New Positions
Priceline.com (PCLN)
Apollo Group (APOL)
Hologic (HOLX)
LCA Vision (LCAV)
Madison Square Garden (MSG) ~ due to a spin-off from Cablevision
Sensata Technologies (ST)


Increased Positions
Verisk Analytics (VRSK): Increased position size by 30.3%
Intel (INTC): Increased by 20.6%
EMC (EMC): Increased by 17.5%


Reduced Positions
Solutia (SOA): Reduced position size by 31.9%
Mastercard (MA): Reduced by 24.5%
Lamar Advertising (LAMR): Reduced by 19.7%
Fidelity National Information (FIS): Reduced by 19.6%
DirecTV (DTV): Reduced by 18.6%
Talisman Energy (TLM): Reduced by 15.1%
Visa (V): Reduced by 14.8%
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS): Reduced by 13.6%


Positions They Sold Out of Completely
Google (GOOG)
Walmart (WMT)
Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
SBA Communications (SBAC)
Teradata (TDC)
Maxim Integrated (MXIM)
Genoptix (GXDX)
IAC Interactive (IACI)


Top 15 Holdings (by percentage of assets reported on 13F filing)

1. Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) Calls: 8.22%
2. Monsanto (MON) Calls: 5.96%

3. Intel (INTC): 4.58%

4. Wuxi Pharmatech (WX): 3.68%

5. Apple (AAPL): 3.48%

6. CVS Caremark (CVS): 3.47%

7. DigitalGlobe (DGI): 3.45%
8. Visa (V): 3.44%

9. Solutia (SOA): 3.35%

10. Mastercard (MA): 3.26%
11. Skyworks (SWKS): 3.15%

12. Dick Sporting Goods (DKS): 3.13%

13. Verisk Analytics (VRSK): 3.13%

14. DirecTV (DTV): 3.09%

15. EMC (EMC): 3.08%


It should come as no surprise that the Tiger Management founder himself has a portfolio reminiscent of other 'Tiger Cub' hedge funds. After all, since Robertson often gets to listen in on meetings and chat with these managers, he can cherry pick their best ideas as well as add his own into the mix. Julian has a large position in CVS Caremark, just like Lee Ainslie and Maverick Capital which is probably hurting performance after the recent plunge in shares. Additionally, Robertson owns DirecTV which we've seen Chase Coleman's Tiger Global is bullish on. Lastly, Tiger holds perennial favorites like Apple, Mastercard, Visa, and Verisk Analytics.

On a sector level, Robertson severely decreased technology exposure and ramped up positions in services. In terms of sales, Robertson liquidated his Google (GOOG) position which is intriguing because many other managers own this name as it's one of the most important stocks to hedge funds. Since Robertson exited in the first quarter, it seems to have been the right decision as GOOG shares have spiraled down. He also sold off Wal-Mart (WMT) common stock but maintains a very hefty position in WMT call options. Tiger Management's portfolio overall saw more selling than buying as assets reported decreased. The 13F filing shows Tiger had $574 million in reported assets this quarter, down from over $600 million in the quarter prior (remember that these filings are not representative of the hedge fund's entire base of AUM).

To see the latest hedge fund portfolios, we recommend using Alphaclone as Market Folly readers receive a special free 14 day trial. It's our source for hedge fund data, replication, backtesting and more. This post is part of our daily hedge fund portfolio tracking series. We've already detailed activity from numerous managers so click the links below to be taken to the respective portfolio updates. We've covered investment gurus such as: Seth Klarman's Baupost Group and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, and George Soros.

Additionally, value and activist funds such as: Bill Ackman's Pershing Square, David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital, Eddie Lampert's RBS Partners, David Tepper's Appaloosa Management, Mohnish Pabrai's Investment Fund, Bruce Berkowitz's Fairholme Capital Management, Dan Loeb's Third Point.

'Tiger Cub' funds like: Stephen Mandel's Lone Pine Capital, John Griffin's Blue Ridge Capital, Lee Ainslie's Maverick Capital, Andreas Halvorsen's Viking Global, Roberto Mignone's Bridger Management, and Shumway Capital Partners.

'Tiger Seed' funds that were seeded by Julian Robertson, including: Chase Coleman's Tiger Global.

Our latest addition, hedge funds started by former employees of various Tiger Cub/Tiger Seed funds: David Stemerman's Conatus Capital.

And lastly, other hedge funds employing various other strategies ranging from risk arbitrage to distressed to global macro: John Paulson's hedge fund Paulson & Co, Phil Falcone's Harbinger Capital Partners,

Be sure to check back daily for new hedge fund updates.


Soros Fund Management Bullish on Petrobras, Suncor & DirecTV: 13F Filing Q1 2010

(This post is part of our series on tracking hedge fund portfolios. If you're unfamiliar with tracking investments they disclose via SEC filings, check out our series preface on hedge fund filings.)

Next up is George Soros' hedge fund firm, Soros Fund Management. While he is still slightly involved, the bulk of the portfolio activity you see below comes from his son Robert Soros who runs the flagship Quantum Endowment. For 2009, Soros' Quantum Endowment Fund was up 28% as noted in our hedge fund performance numbers list. We follow Soros for sector leans due to their global macro tilt. Given that they dabble in pretty much any asset class they please, remember that the equity positions below are only a brief part of a cohesive whole.

George Soros has in the past voiced his concern over the deleveraging of the US consumer as he feels it could hurt consumer spending (and thus growth) in the future. Soros' thoughts from the markets are detailed in his most recent book, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means. And of course you can receive a primer on all things finance from the man himself in his first book The Alchemy of Finance.

The positions listed below were their long equity, note, and options holdings as of March 31st, 2010 as filed with the SEC. All holdings are common stock unless otherwise denoted:


Brand New Positions
Conexant Systems (CNXT) Notes
Cobalt International Energy (CIE)
iShares Emerging Markets Index (EEM) Puts
PNC Financial (PNC)
Telecom Argentina (TEO)
Covanta (CVA) Notes
Westport Innovations (WPRT) ~ we previously detailed Soros' new stake
Solar Capital (SLRC)
Petrohawk Energy (HK)
AMR (AMR)
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) Notes
RF Micro (RFMD)
Nokia (NOK)
ADC Telecomm (ADCT) Notes
Global Crossing (GLBC) Notes
Dow Chemical (DOW)
Staples (SPLS)
Exco Resources (XCO)
International Paper (IP)
Armstrong World (AWI)


Increased Positions
NovaGold Resources (NG): Increased position size by 435.8% ~ we previously detailed this
DirecTV (DTV): Increased by 27.3%
Suncor Energy (SU): Increased by 22.4%
Cadence Design System (CDNS) Notes: Increased by 20%
Lawson Software (LWSN) Notes: Increased by 19.6%
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR): Increased by 17.7%
Verizon (VZ): Increased by 16.7%


Reduced Positions
Plains Exploration (PXP): Reduced position size by 24.7%
Monsanto (MON): Reduced by 17.4%
Hess (HES): Reduced by 16.1%
Emdeon (EM): Reduced by 12.2%
SPDR Gold Trust (GLD): Reduced by 9.6%


Positions They Sold Out of Completely
Mcdata (inactive) Notes
CSG Systems International (CSGS) Bonds
Terra Industries (TRA)
Select Sector Financials (XLF) Calls
Bunge (BG)
Coach (COH)
Heinz (HNZ)
Sandridge Energy (SD)
Energy XXI (EXXI)
iShares US Telecom Sector (IYZ)
CVR Energy (CVI)
James River Coal (JRCC)
Mechel (MTL)
Steel Dynamics (STLD)
Denbury Resources (DNR)
Windstream (WIN)
McMoran Exploration (MMR)
Patterson-UTI (PTEN)
Sterling Construction (STRL)
Century Aluminum (CENX)


Top 15 Holdings (by percentage of assets reported on 13F filing)

1. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD): 6.95%
2. Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR): 4.63%

3. Hess (HES): 3.46%
4. Suncor (SU): 3.26%

5. LSI Corp (LSI) Notes: 3.2%

6. Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR-A): 2.66%

7. Monsanto (MON): 2.62%

8. Linear Tech (LLTC) Notes: 2.49%

9. Lawson Software (LWSN) Notes: 2.22%
10. Interoil (IOC): 2.19%
11. RF Microdevices (RFMD) Notes: 2.11%

12. DirecTV (DTV): 2.03%

13. Verizon (VZ): 2.00%

14. Flextronics (FLEX) Notes: 1.98%
15. Plains Exploration (PXP): 1.80%

Firstly, please note that since Soros Fund Management is a global macro oriented firm, they undoubtedly have positions in other markets (debt, currencies, commodities) that are not required to be disclosed by the SEC. As such, the above is only partially representative of Soros' portfolio. That said, you can definitely see some themes via their equity exposure as they are long various oil and agriculture names.

Additionally, they seem to like the satellite play DirecTV (DTV). As we've detailed previously, Chase Coleman's hedge fund Tiger Global is bullish on DTV. It was also interesting to see Soros have a sizable long in Interoil (IOC) as many investment managers and pundits have labeled IOC as a potential fraud. Whitney Tilson's hedge fund T2 Partners has been short IOC under the notion that IOC has no real proven reserves and is essentially just a public relations hype machine. This dichotomy of opinion is what truly makes a market.

Overall, the natural resource and energy theme continues to garner a prominent position in Soros Fund Management's portfolio. Gold is their top holding, followed by large stakes in Petrobras, Hess, Suncor, Monsanto, Interoil, and Plains Exploration. They also show a large addition to NovaGold Resources, but we had already mentioned this position increase back when the transaction took place as both Soros and John Paulson bought shares.

Assets reported on Soros' 13F filing were $8.75 billion this quarter. Data from the SEC is aggregated and sorted automatically by Alphaclone, our source for hedge fund tracking, replicating, and performance backtesting (Market Folly readers can receive a special free 14 day trial). Remember that these filings are not representative of the hedge fund's entire base of AUM.

This post is part of our daily hedge fund portfolio tracking series. We've already detailed activity from numerous managers so click the links below to be taken to the respective portfolio updates: Seth Klarman's Baupost Group, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Stephen Mandel's Lone Pine Capital, and Bill Ackman's Pershing Square, David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital, Eddie Lampert's RBS Partners, David Tepper's Appaloosa Management, Mohnish Pabrai's Investment Fund, John Griffin's Blue Ridge Capital, Lee Ainslie's Maverick Capital, Bruce Berkowitz's Fairholme Capital Management, Andreas Halvorsen's Viking Global, Dan Loeb's Third Point, John Paulson's hedge fund Paulson & Co, Chase Coleman's Tiger Global, Roberto Mignone's Bridger Management, Phil Falcone's Harbinger Capital Partners, David Stemerman's Conatus Capital, and Shumway Capital Partners. Be sure to check back daily for new hedge fund updates.