Monday, September 26, 2016

Steve Eisman Thinks US Destined For Slow Growth: Jeff Saut Market Commentary

Market strategist Jeff Saut of Raymond James has put out his latest piece entitled, "Schadenfreude."  In it, he talks about his recent meeting with Steve Eisman.

Here's what Eisman is thinking these days, according to Saut:  "Steve concluded that Europe is currently sick, the U.S. is likely destined for slow growth because there is not a big enough mortgage refi pipeline to boost the economy, and that Italy is in big trouble.  Steve said to bea short seller you need to embrace 'Schadenfreude.'"

Eisman, of course, was famously profiled in the book The Big Short that subsequently was turned into a movie where he was played by Steve Carrell.

Eisman also walked Saut through the financial crisis, noting that for a crisis like that to happen, you need 3 things: too much leverage, a big asset class that blows up, and then large institutions holding most of the asset class that blows up.

Embedded below is Jeff Saut's latest market commentary, Schadenfreude:



You can view Saut's previous market commentary here.



Senator Investment Group Takes Comstock Resources Stake

Alex Klabin and Doug Silverman's hedge fund Senator Investment Group has filed a 13G with the SEC regarding shares of Comstock Resources (CRK).  Per the filing, Senator now owns 7.32% of the company with 922,754 shares (including 93,500 shares issuable upon exercise of warrants).

This is a newly disclosed equity position for the firm as they did not own any at the end of the second quarter.  The filing was made due to activity on September 13th.

For more from this fund, check out Alex Klabin on the intangibles of building a great hedge fund.

Per Google Finance, Comstock Resources is "an energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas in the United States. The Company operates in the segment of exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The Company's oil and gas operations are concentrated in Texas and Louisiana. Its operations are focused in two operating areas: East Texas/North Louisiana and South Texas. The Company's properties in the East Texas/North Louisiana region include approximately 80,660 acres in the Haynesville or Bossier shale formations. The Company's Eagleville field includes approximately 30,220 acres located in the oil window of the Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Company owns interests in over 1,575 producing oil and natural gas wells, and operates over 950 of these wells. The Company owns interests in over 20 wells in the Rosita field, located in Duval County, Texas."


Paulson & Co Trims Synergy Pharmaceuticals Position

John Paulson's hedge fund firm Paulson & Co has filed a Form 4 with the SEC regarding its stake in Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP).  Per the filing, Paulson sold over 3.47 million shares in total on September 16th and 19th at prices around $5.61. 

After these transactions, Paulson & Co is left with exposure to SGYP of over 24.28 million shares.

A previously filed Form 3 with the SEC indicates that they had notional principal amount derivative agreements in place as well in the form of cash settled swaps representing share equivalents of 2.21 million shares with strikes ranging from $3.31 to $6.347 and expiration dates ranging from November 4th, 2016 to October 5th, 2017.

You can view other recent portfolio activity from Paulson & Co here.

Per Google Finance, Synergy Pharmaceuticals is "a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of gastrointestinal (GI) therapies. The Company's GI platform includes two lead product candidates: plecanatide and dolcanatide. It is engaged in the discovery, research and development involving uroguanylin analogs for the treatment of functional GI disorders and inflammatory bowel disease. Plecanatide is the Company's uroguanylin analog being evaluated for use as a once-daily tablet for two functional GI disorders, chronic idiopathic constipation (CIC) and irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C). Plecanatide is a 16-amino acid peptide that is structurally identical to uroguanylin with the exception of a single amino acid change. Dolcanatide is also its uroguanylin analog being explored for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Dolcanatide is designed to be an analog of uroguanylin with resistance to standard digestive breakdown by proteases in the intestine."