Thursday, September 12, 2019

Discount to Value Invest New York Conference 2019

Value Invest New York
December 3rd 2019
The Times Center 

$700 discount using code: marketfolly-sept19
Expires September 30th

The conference speaker line-up includes Joel Greenblatt, Alex Roepers, Tom Russo, Michael Mauboussin, C.T. Fitzpatrick, Richard Chilton, David Samra and many others - see the full speaker line-up below or on the Value Invest New York website.

As a partner offer, the organizers have offered MarketFolly readers a $700 discount on a ticket to attend if booked before September 30th.  (There's also a full refund if you cancel by November 1st.)

Speakers at the conference will provide valuable insights into the methods and approaches that have made them successful, comment on the investment climate and other specific investment ideas - the top performing investment ideas presented at the 2018 conference are below:

*calculated with prices correct as of September 9th 2019

You can also see the long-term performance of the stocks presented at the London Value Investor Conference since 2012 on the London Value Investor Conference website.

If you have any questions about Value Invest New York please direct them to the organizers at

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Baupost Group Increases Translate Bio Stake

Seth Klarman's investment firm Baupost Group has filed a 13G with the SEC regarding its position in Translate Bio (TBIO).  Per the filing, Baupost now owns 24.06% of the company with over 12.27 million shares as of August 31st.  This is up from the 8.84 million shares they disclosed as of the end of June.

Per Yahoo Finance, Translate Bio is "a clinical-stage messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics company, develops medicines to treat diseases caused by protein or gene dysfunction. The company is developing MRT5005, which is in Phase I/II clinical trial for the treatment of cystic fibrosis; and MRT5201 to treat ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Sanofi Pasteur Inc. to develop mRNA vaccines for up to five infectious disease pathogens. The company was formerly known as RaNA Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Translate Bio, Inc. in June 2017. Translate Bio, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts."

Paulson & Co Files 13D on Callon Petroleum, Opposes Carizzo Oil Acquisition

John Paulson's hedge fund firm Paulson & Co has filed a 13D with the SEC regarding shares of Callon Petroleum (CPE).  Per the filing, Paulson now owns 9.5% of the company with over 21.59 million shares.  This is a brand new position for the hedge fund as they did not report any shares on their most recent 13F filing which discloses portfolios as of June 30th.

Paulson has gone activist and sent the board of directors a letter highlighting they oppose the acquisition of Carizzo Oil & Gas.  Paulson outlines a few reasons for their position: 1) Callon stock is down 36% since acquisition's announcement, 2) Co is offering an unwarranted premium to Carrizo, 3) Callon shareholders would be diluted, 4) Callon would no longer be a premium pure-play company, 5) Callon could be worth over 60%+ in a takeover, 6) Permian basin pure-plays remain attractive acquisition targets.  They go on to list other reasons as well.

Paulson & Co's Letter to Callon Petroleum

Embedded below is Paulson & Co's letter in its entirety.

You can also access it here.

Tiger Global Still Buying Sunrun Shares

Chase Coleman's hedge fund firm Tiger Global has filed yet another Form 4 with the SEC indicating their activity in Sunrun (RUN) shares.  As we've detailed previously, Tiger Global has been out buying RUN shares and they've continued to do so into September.

The latest filing indicates they were out buying 654,011 shares in total across September 4th through 6th with the bulk at weighted average prices of $15.247 and $15.501.

After these recent buys, Tiger Global now owns over 25.2 million shares of Sunrun.

Farallon Capital Shows DermTech Stake

Andrew Spokes' hedge fund firm Farallon Capital has filed a 13G with the SEC regarding shares of DermTech (DMTK).  Per the filing, Farallon now owns 9.8% of DermTech as of August 29th with exposure to over 1.23 million shares. 

Their stake is comprised of 615,385 shares and they also hold "Series A Preferred Shares (as defined in the Preliminary Note) convertible into an aggregate of 615,385 shares."

DermTech shares have been extremely volatile, plummeting from $21.69 in late August to around $5 by the end of the month.

Per Yahoo Finance, DermTech is "a molecular genomics company, develops and markets novel non-invasive diagnostic tests to diagnosis skin cancer and related conditions in the United States. The company offers Pigmented Lesion Assay (PLA), a gene expression test that helps rule out melanoma and the need for a surgical biopsy of atypical pigmented lesions. It also provides Nevome test, an adjunctive reflex test for the PLA; and adhesive skin sample collection kits, as well as gene expression assays for the Th1, Th2, IFN-gamma, and Th17 inflammatory pathways. The company sells its products to pathology and oncology practitioners. DermTech, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California."

Elliott Management Goes Activist on AT&T

Paul Singer's hedge fund firm Elliott Management has gone activist on AT&T (T), sending a letter to the board to outline what they feel is a 'compelling value-creation opportunity.  Elliott now owns $3.2 billion worth of shares and they see 65% upside to recent trading levels.

Elliott writes, "Elliott  made the investment in AT&T – among  its largest ever – because it exhibits a unique combination of historical underperformance,   a  depressed  valuation,  well-positioned  assets and  a clear path forward to generate extraordinary  value  for shareholders and other stakeholders."

Elliott's Letter to AT&T

Embedded below is Elliott's Letter & Presentation on AT&T.  It includes numerous charts and highlights T's valuation as well as struggling business lines:

You can also visit the website they've setup: