Showing posts with label LULU. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LULU. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Steve Mandel's Lone Pine Capital Raises Lululemon (LULU) Stake

Steve Mandel's hedge fund firm Lone Pine Capital has filed a 13G with the SEC regarding shares of Lululemon Athletica (LULU).  Per the filing, Lone Pine has disclosed a 5.01% ownership stake in LULU with 5,632,431 shares.  This marks almost a 17% increase in their position size since the end of 2012. 

The 13G was required due to portfolio activity on April 5th.  Recently, Lululemon has seen a bit of controversy as customers were complaining about yoga pants that were too-sheer (i.e. they were see-through or somewhat transparent).  Shares dropped from $70 down to as low as $61.60 on the news but have since rebounded back to $70.  It's likely Lone Pine was buying somewhere in this sell-off.

Steve Mandel was recently listed as one of the top 10 highest paid hedge fund managers of 2012.

Per Google Finance, Lululemon Athletica "manufactures, distributes and sells technical athletics and yoga apparel."

For more on this hedge fund, we've highlighted some of Lone Pine's other portfolio activity.



Thursday, March 29, 2012

Long/Short Equity Investing Panel: Whitney Tilson (CIMA Conference)

Continuing the series of notes from the CIMA Conference (Columbia Investment Management Association), we turn to the long/short equity investing panel with Whitney Tilson of T2 Partners.

Whitney Tilson On Various Longs/Shorts & Lessons Learned

On His Netflix (NFLX) Trade: over 2 years, they’ve broken even. Shorted at 100, covered at 200, felt smart as it went to 300. Wanted to kill themselves as their short thesis played out, got back long on the day in blew up going from 120 to 77 in a day.

Lessons: what they missed on the short side: very dangerous shorting an open-ended situation with a lot of momentum. Both stock and business had momentum, and they didn’t fully appreciate the quality of the business or the momentum the stock has.

Why was he short? Because P/E was 75x, also NFLX needed to invest heavily in streaming content to grow, which would have compressed margins. It happened, should have been more patient before entering the short. Now, balance sheet has tripled in a year, CEO has given up on core business, has bet entire company on the streaming business, with 3B of deals, which is senior to the debt. Stock could be 1000 in 5 years, or zero in 5 years. Each incremental sub is almost pure profit. Good news is they learned the company VERY well and could act very quickly when the stock collapsed. “We didn’t change, the stock price changed.” Every stock in the universe is a long at one price and a short at another price.


On Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A / BRK.B): 15% position, held continuously for 13 years. Upside, worth 170k, up from 117k. Based on investments 100k per share, then 10x multiple on operating businesses, add it together. Any method you value it, worth at least 150k. Buffett buys it back at book. 8% downside, 50% upside stock. Railroads, housing sensitive business are doing great, insurance business is getting better. What is the bear case? No catalysts. No activists, can’t break it up, no dividend. Cheapness is the only catalyst, and the valuation gap will close. Single biggest area of cheap stocks, they are cheap on risk-adjusted basis.


Tilson on His Short Positions: Says to size your shorts small. Has there ever been a $10B market cap that traded at 10x REV that didn’t collapse?

Lululemon (LULU), Salesforce.com (CRM): good businesses at ridiculous prices

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR): OK business, may be chance of fraud of channel stuffing. See David Einhorn's short thesis on GMCR here.

Interoil (IOC): interoil, claims to have found world’s largest natural oil field in Papua New Guinea, they think the value is zero.

Nokia (NOK), Barnes & Noble (BKS): terminal value zero, thinking of adding Research in Motion (RIMM) to the list, waiting for a bounce. Tricky with a lot of cash, doesn’t expect NOK and RIMM to survive in Android business. Bigger, better player can go under- Borders Books failed, BKS will be next. Any time you’ve seen a stock that has moved a lot, and you say, “I missed it.” Instead, stop and do your work, pretend like it never was at a price before. Only thing that matters is where the stock is today and where it’s likely to be in the future.

Two types of shorts: both very tough. Where is it on the life cycle? Broken momentum shorts. Value traps. Best Buy (BBY): value trap, or say it’s trading at 8x FCF?


Q&A Session:

On Hedge Fund Management Fees & Investor Expectations: If you’re having a ballet in an auditorium, that’s fine, as long as you say that outside. If it’s a rock concert, that’s fine too, as long as you’ve labeled it as such. The problem is when you say it’s a ballet and it’s a rock concert. Make investors aware of exactly what your style is. He’s more volatile than the average hedge fund, so they communicate with their clients frequently. Had only single digit redemptions last year, up 12% so far this year. Manages ~$150 million: if he thought cutting fees would get him to $1B, he would do it. The money chases performance regardless of fees anyway. No clever fee arrangement works anyway.


For the rest of the notes from the CIMA Conference, head to these posts:

- Dan Loeb: Lessons He's Learned as an Investor

- David Einhorn Question & Answer Session

- Bruce Berkowitz's Basic Checklist for Investing & What He's Learned

- Distressed Investing Panel (Dan Loeb & Daniel Krueger)

- Bill Miller on What Stocks He Likes Now

- Michael Karsch on Risk Management

- Bruce Greenwald's Market Comments


Thursday, February 9, 2012

T2 Partners January Letter: Portfolio Update

It's been a while since we've checked in on Whitney Tilson and Glenn Tongue's hedge fund T2 Partners so here is their January letter to investors. While they had a horrible year last year (-24.9%), they were up 12.6% in January.

The letter mentions some of their longs: Pep Boys (PBY), Goldman Sachs (GS), Iridium (IRDM), Resource America (REXI), Dell (DELL), Howard Hughes (HHC), Citigroup (C), and Microsoft (MSFT).

Also, they mention they are long SanDisk (SNDK) and bought more after the company provided weak guidance.

T2 Partners also revealed some more of their shorts: Lululemon (LULU), Interoil (IOC), ReachLocal (RLOC), First Solar (FSLR), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR), ITT Educational (ESI), and Salesforce.com (CRM).

Their letter also provides more in-depth updates on their positions in Netflix (NFLX) and J.C. Penney (JCP) which you can read below: T2 Partners January letter



For more from this hedge fund, you can view T2's presentation on Berkshire Hathaway and JCP.

And then for presentations from other funds, we posted up Bill Ackman on Canadian Pacific today too.