Thursday, January 30, 2014

2013 Hedge Fund Performance Numbers

Now that 2013 is over, we thought we'd aggregate how prominent hedge funds performed.  While some funds turned in solid numbers (Glenview & Appaloosa), others put in more marginal performances.

Some media members have bashed hedge fund performance, but it is worth noting that at least in the long/short equity segment this year, many of these funds captured 2/3rd's of the market upside while only being 30-40% net long.

After all, a true hedge fund is just that, hedged.  There's no question that short selling was tough in 2013 and by definition, many L/S hedge funds won't capture all the upside in big up years (like 2013).

As always, it's worth examining the entire picture (risk, exposure levels, etc) and the entire spectrum of returns.  Undoubtedly, there will be outperformers and underperformers.

Not to mention, it's probably more prudent to fixate on 3-year, 5-year, or even 10-year numbers anyways.  But in the short-term focused world, the 1-year performance number reigns.

The S&P 500 was up 29.6% in 2013.  Here's how prominent hedgies fared.


2013 Hedge Fund Performance Numbers


Glenview Capital Opportunity Fund: 84% (through end of Oct)

Appaloosa Palomino Fund: 42.1%

Bridgewater All Weather: -4%

Bridgewater Pure Alpha: 5.25%

Paulson Recovery: 63.18%

Paulson Advantage: 26.05%

Paulson Advantage Plus: 27.22%

Perry Partners: 20.25%

Pershing Square: 9.29%

Trian Partners: 40.06%

Owl Creek: 48%

Millennium: 13.07%

Visium Global: 16.93%

Eton Park: 22.3%

Children's Investment Fund: 47%

Theleme Partners: 19.41%

Whitebox MultiStrat: 18.09%

Lone Pine Cascade: 30.3%

Lone Pine Cypress: 18%

Lone Pine Dragon: 9.8%

Conatus Capital: 23.6%

Farallon: 15.3%

Matrix Capital: 56%

Elliott International: 11.6%

Discovery Global Opportunity: 27.5%

Marcato International: 26.16%

Luxor Capital: 17.6%

York Investment: 18.27%

Joho Capital: 29.46%

Lansdowne European Equity: 21.51%

Odey European: 25.78%

Kingdon Offshore: 23.69%

Passport Global: 18.98%

Passport LongShort: 19.89%

Passport Special Opportunities: 45.5%

Cobalt Offshore: 8.84%

Elm Ridge Capital: 22.28%

Eminence Capital: 14.64%

Highbridge LongShort: 15.34%

Ivory Capital: 17.07%

Ivory Enhanced Fund: 28.31%

Omega Advisors: 30.02%

Zweig-DiMenna: 17.33%

Greenlight Capital: 18.7%

Tosca Opportunity: 56%

JAT Capital: 30.6%

Tiger Global: 14%

Maverick Fund: 16.3%

Maverick Long: 32%

Hound Partners: 16%

Coatue Management: 20%

Viking Global Equities: 22.6%

Viking Long: 38.4%

Valinor Management: 23.4%

Glade Brook Capital: 19.76%

Falcon Edge Capital: 28%

Glenhill: 28.7%

Highfields Capital: 27.3%

Bridger Capital's Swiftcurrent Fund: 20.6%

White Elm Capital: 23.6%

MFP: 31.5%

Tybourne Capital: 16.04%

Fairholme: 33%

Jericho Capital: 33% (through end of Nov)

Beacon Light: 21.13%



2013 Credit Hedge Fund Performance

BlueCrest MultiStrat: 8.98%

BlueMountain LongShort Credit: 7.57%

Brevan Howard Credit Catalysts: 12.21%

Ellington Credit Opportunities: 15.55%

Kingdon Credit: 14.58%

Pine River Credit: 13.09%

Saba Capital: -3.61%

Canyon Value: 14.71%

Davidson Kempner: 19.98%

King Street: 11.43%

Monarch Debt Recovery: 16.12%

Paulson Credit Opportunities: 21.8%

Silver Point Capital Offshore: 15.88%



2013 Macro Hedge Fund Performance

Tudor BVI Global: 13.98%

Moore Global: 16.99%

Rubicon Global: 18.25%

Trend Macro: 11.88%





Sources: hedge fund performance reports, HSBC, II Alpha, WSJ, Bloomberg, NYMag


East Coast's Q4 Letter: Understanding the Mispricing of an Investment

Chris Begg's East Coast Asset Management is out with its 2013 year-end letter.  The Q4 missive walks further down their investment checklist.  Last quarter, we highlighted their letter on competitive advantage and this time they focus on understanding the mispricing of an investment

Through use of checklists, they categorize investment opportunities and identify the bull/bear cases, potential catalysts, long-term fundamentals, various sentiments, and more in order to understand what exactly is driving the mispricing.

This ties in with their concept of 'investment longitude' in that they want to understand the critical data points that truly drive the business (and the stock).  The letter below walks you through how to do so.

In terms of how East Coast has been positioning themselves, they've been shifting more of their portfolio toward 'transformation' plays, or companies benefiting from secular tailwinds.  Begg's letter also details how they purchased a European cable business in Q4.  While they don't specifically identify the position, it certainly sounds like John Malone's Liberty Global (LBTYA/LBTYK).

Embedded below is East Coast's Q4 letter: Navigating Beyond the Pillars:



For more on their investment checklists, head to East Coast's letter on competitive advantage.


Glenview Capital Updates Community Health Systems Stake

Larry Robbins' hedge fund Glenview Capital has filed an amended 13G and 13D with the SEC regarding their positions in Community Health Systems (CYH) and Health Management Associates (former ticker HMA).

On January 27th, CYH announced it had completed its acquisition of HMA.  As such, Glenview received over 2.6 million shares of CYH in exchange for its 37.7 million shares of HMA at an exchange rate of 0.06942 CYH shares per each share of HMA owned (and adjusted for cash received in lieu of the fractional shares).

As a result of this transaction, Glenview now owns over 12 million shares of CYH, or 10.67% of the company.

Glenview has bet big on hospitals and profited handsomely from their wagers as a whole.  For more portfolio activity from this hedge fund, click here.


Wednesday, January 29, 2014

What We're Reading ~ Analytical Links 1/29/13

On position sizing in long/short equity hedge funds [Aleph Blog]

Report on measuring a company's moat [Credit Suisse]

How to read a 10-K like Warren Buffett [CNBC]

The myth of maximizing shareholder value [Naked Capitalism]

The second most expensive stock market in the world [John Mauldin]

A look at Post Holdings [Brooklyn Investor]

Dow Chemical is no bargain [Capital Observer]

A long pitch on SSD makers [Minyanville]

Sprint met with US government re: possible T-Mobile deal, Justice Dept skeptical [WSJ]

How Vietnam became a coffee giant [BBC]

5 takeaways from the emerging markets rout of 2014 [WSJ]

Visa Europe says end of physical currency a 'reality' [Telegraph]

Apple making a move into mobile payments? [WSJ]

Google and Samsung reach global patent license deal [GigaOm]


Odey Starts Wolfson Microelectronics Stake

Crispin Odey's firm Odey Asset Management has disclosed a new position in London listed Wolfson Microelectronics (LON:WLF).

Due to trading on January 28th, Odey own the equivalent of 5.95% of Wolfson's voting rights.  The whole position is held via CFDs/derivatives.

James Hanbury's Odey Absolute Return hedge fund appears to be the main holder.

Per Google Finance, Wolfson Microelectronics is "a semiconductor company.  Wolfson is principally engaged in the design, manufacture and supply of high performance mixed- signal integrated circuits for the consumer electronics market. It segments include Audio Hubs and   Discrete and Power Products. Audio Hubs includes the supply and sale of Wolfson’s Audio Hubs   high performance audio integrated circuit solutions. Discrete and Power Products includes the   supply and sale of integrated circuits, which are discrete components, such as Analogue-to-Digital   Converters; Digital-to-Analogue Converters, This segment also includes those components which   are power management integrated circuits and the silicon microphone devices based on Micro- Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS) technology. The Company focuses on high definition (HD) audio   systems-on-chip (SoC), and noise reduction and sound enhancement software. During the fiscal year   ended January 1, 2012 (fiscal 2012), it acquired Dynamic Hearing Pty Ltd.”

You can view other recent portfolio activity from Odey here.


Marcato Capital Management Adds to Lear Position

Mick McGuire's activist hedge fund Marcato Capital Management has filed an amended 13D with the SEC regarding their stake in Lear (LEA).

Per the filing, Marcato now owns 7.9% of the company with over 6.4 million shares.  This means they've boosted their notional exposure by 750,000 shares since the end of the third quarter.

The fine print indicates they own call options representing 7.6 million shares at prices ranging from $40 to $90 per share and expiration dates ranging from June 2014 to August 2014.  They've also sold puts representing 7.6 million shares with exercise prices ranging from $40 to $65 and the same expiration dates.

The filing was required due to activity on January 23rd.  You can view the exact details of their recent trades here.

We previously highlighted how Marcato disclosed a Lear stake just slightly over a year ago.

Per Google Finance, Lear is "a tier 1 supplier to the global automotive industry. The Company supplies its products to automotive manufacturers with automotive seat systems and related components, as well as electrical distribution systems and related components. The Company has two segments: seating and electrical power management systems (EPMS). The seating segment includes seat systems and related components, such as seat frames, recliner mechanisms, seat tracks, seat trim covers, headrests and seat foam." 


Monday, January 27, 2014

MHR Fund Management Files 13D on Titan International

Mark Rachesky's hedge fund MHR Fund Management has filed a 13D with the SEC regarding Titan International (TWI).  Per the filing, MHR now owns 10.9% of the company with 5.84 million shares.

This is a newly disclosed position and the filing was made due to activity on January 9th.  The position is comprised of both common stock as well as $8.1225 July 2014 call options.

The 13D filing contains the standard boilerplate that MHR intends to seek discussions with management concerning the business and operations of the company.


About MHR Fund Management

If you're unfamiliar with this name, here's what you need to know:  prior to founding MHR Fund Management, Rachesky previously worked as a senior investment officer and managing director to Carl Icahn.  

Rachesky received his B.S. in molecular aspects of cancer from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.D. from Stanford University School of Medicine. Additionally, he also holds an MBA from the Stanford Graduate School of Business.



About Titan International

Per Google Finance, Titan International "through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the manufacturing of wheels and tires. The Company operates in three segments: agricultural, earthmoving/construction and consumer. Titan produces a range of specialty products to meet the specifications of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers in the agricultural, earthmoving/construction and consumer markets. Titan’s earthmoving/ construction market includes wheels and tires supplied to the mining industry, while the consumer market includes products for all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) and recreational/utility trailers. The Company’s customers include AGCO Corporation, CNH Global N.V., Deere & Company and Kubota Corporation."


Corvex Management Starts Activist Signet Jewelers Position

Keith Meister's activist firm Corvex Management has filed a 13D with the SEC regarding Signet Jewlers (SIG).  Per the filing, Corvex now owns 7.8% of the company with over 6.2 million shares. 

This is a newly revealed stake and the filing was required due to activity on January 14th.  As has been customary with Corvex's other recent positions, they've bought both common stock and call options, as well as sold puts. 

It looks like they were buying November 2014 $53 calls and February 2015 $51 calls as well as selling November 2014 $53 puts and February 2015 $51 puts.


Activist Talks

The filing indicates Corvex has already talked with management and found talks to be "constructive." 

Corvex has approached Signet about "options for enhancing shareholder value through various strategic alternatives including, but not limited to, leveraging the Issuer's credit receivables, optimizing capital structure, accelerating M&A and/or return of capital to shareholders, utilizing the Issuer's offshore corporate structure, and general corporate matters."


About Signet Jewelers

Per Google Finance, Signet Jewelers is "a specialty retail jeweler by sales in the United States and United Kingdom, and also has stores in the Republic of Ireland and Channel Islands. The Company is engaged in the retailing of jewelry, watches and associated services. The business is managed as two geographical operating divisions: the US division and the UK division. Its stores trade nationally in malls and off-mall locations as Kay Jewelers (Kay), and regionally under a number of mall-based brands. Destination superstores trade nationwide as Jared The Galleria Of Jewelry (Jared)."

You can view more of Corvex's recent portfolio activity here.


Pershing Square Discloses Platform Specialty Products Stake

In a 13G filed with the SEC, Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management has disclosed a 30.9% ownership position in Platform Specialty Products (PAH) with 33,333,332 shares. 

Ackman's position is broken down into over 28.1 million shares and over 4.1 million shares via October 2016 Warrants.  Pershing owns around 12.5 million warrants and every three warrants gives them the right to buy 1 share of common stock for $11.50.

Longtime followers of Pershing Square will know that this is not a new stake for the hedge fund, but they've disclosed it because PAH is newly listed on the NYSE.  The filing was made due to activity on January 23rd.

Platform was formed with the intent to acquire companies and their first deal was MacDermid, a specialty chemicals manufacturer for $1.8 billion.  Martin Franklin of Jarden (JAH), Nicolas Berggruen of Berggruen Holdings and Ackman's Pershing all own significant Platform stakes.

This isn't the first time Berggruen and Ackman have worked together, either.  While the Platform deal is a bit different, Ackman and Berggruen teamed up on Justice Holdings.  Justice then bought Burger King and relisted the stock, a position Ackman still held at the end of Q3.

Click here for more recent activity from Bill Ackman's fund.


Friday, January 24, 2014

What We're Reading ~ Hedge Fund Links 1/24/14

Where were the best performing hedge funds in 2013? [ai-cio]

JANA Partners targets Juniper, plans to close Nirvana Fund [II Alpha]

Tiger Global snaps up Alibaba shares at lofty valuation [USA Today]

A look at Joshua Resnick's Jericho Capital [II Alpha]

The world's biggest hedge fund had a pretty bad year [NYMag]

Michael Steinhardt is back and he's re-inventing investing again [Forbes]

A look at how Bruce Berkowitz's new hedge fund is doing [CNBC]

Why Bill Fleckenstein is (almost) ready to short stocks [Bloomberg]

For the love of the money [NYTimes]

The 13F spotlight: revealing and concealing hedge fund trades [FINalternatives]


Thursday, January 23, 2014

Corsair Capital's Thesis on Alere (ALR): Q4 Letter

Jay Petschek and Steven Major's hedge fund Corsair Capital pitched Alere (ALR) in their Q4 letter.  They feel that the market still has a negative view toward the company despite numerous changes happening.

The company is involved with medical diagnostics and has a huge market share in 'point-of-care rapid tests used in hospitals, clinics and doctors' offices.'

Over the last ten years, the company went on an acquisition binge and basically failed to integrate them properly.  A proxy contest in 2013 led to changes and the company hired Namal Nawana from Johnson & Johnson as COO to change the culture and reduce costs.

Corsair thinks ALR is worth between $70-80 per share if it trades with a multiple in-line with other competitors.  ALR trades around $37 today.

They also note, "Furthermore, if the market doesn't come around and value this business properly, we wouldn't be surprised if, after restructuring the company, (the CEO) looks to sell the company as he did with IMA back in 2001."

Embedded below is Corsair Capital's Q4 letter with their pitch on Alere (ALR):




If you missed it, we've posted up Corsair's past letters as well.


Carl Icahn Pushes For eBay To Spinoff PayPal; Buys More Apple

Activist investor Carl Icahn has been busy yet again.  Firstly, he has disclosed a new position in eBay (EBAY) and he's pushing for the company to spin-off its fast growing PayPal segment.

This is not a new idea.  Plenty of analysts, sell-siders, and portfolio managers have voiced this sentiment before.  However, this might be the first time that a prominent activist has gotten involved and actually tried to make it happen.


Icahn's New eBay Stake

Icahn only owns 0.82% of the company and it looks like his activist push might already be dead on arrival.

Yesterday during eBay's earnings presentation, the company had one specific slide that highlighted why eBay and PayPal should remain together (seen here).

Then today, eBay's Chairman Pierre Omidyar (who owns 8% of the company) tweeted that he and the board were "fully aligned" that eBay and PayPal are best together.  Marc Andreessen tweeted the same.

As such, if Icahn wants to truly push for change, he'll perhaps need to drastically ramp up his ownership stake.  But as some investors have pointed out, perhaps his campaign has been more about awareness than activism.

Talking to Bloomberg, Icahn said he wants to get the word out to shareholders and if he can maybe get 51% of the shareholders to vote that they want it to happen, then maybe the board will take notice.  He did, however, acknowledge that it would be "difficult to convince management." He's also nominated two of his employees to eBay's board.

The video of Icahn's interview is embedded below:




Icahn Buys More Apple

The corporate activist also disclosed activity in another position of his.  This time, he took to Twitter to disclose that he had purchased $500 million more shares of Apple.  Icahn now owns over $3 billion worth of AAPL.

Icahn says that, "We feel (Apple's) board is doing great disservice to shareholders by not having markedly increased its buyback.  In-depth letter to follow soon."


Lee Cooperman Updates Position in Harbinger Group

Lee Cooperman of Omega Advisors has filed a 13G with the SEC regarding his position in Harbinger Group (HRG).

Omega Advisors previously held a stake in Harbinger Group as of the end of the third quarter.  Back then, they owned 6.5 million shares. 

Omega's 13G filed today seems to be updating that stake.  The filing indicates that as of September 26th, the hedge fund firm actually owned 7.6 million shares, or 5.3% of the company. 

Keep in mind that Harbinger Group's Chairman is fellow hedgie Phil Falcone of Harbinger Capital.

Per Google Finance, Harbinger Group is "a holding company. The Company's operations are conducted through Spectrum Brands, the Company's subsidiary, which provides branded consumer products, such as batteries, personal care products, small household appliances, pet supplies, and home and garden pest control products, and Fidelity & Guaranty Life Holdings, Inc. (FGL), its wholly owned indirect subsidiary, which provides life insurance and annuity products. In addition, Salus Capital Partners, LLC (Salus), the Company's wholly owned indirect subsidiary, is engaged in the business of providing secured asset-based loans across a range of industries, and Front Street Re Ltd (Front Street), its wholly owned indirect subsidiary provide reinsurance to the specialty insurance sector of fixed, deferred and payout annuities. The Company also own 97.9% of Zap.Com Corporation (Zap.Com)."

You can see some of Cooperman's more recent stock picks here from an interview.


Senator Investment Group Discloses Trade Street Residential Stake

Doug Silverman and Alex Klabin's hedge fund Senator Investment Group has filed a 13D and Form 3 with the SEC regarding their position in Trade Street Residential (TSRE).

This is a newly disclosed position for the hedge fund and they now own 25.6% of the company with over 9.3 million shares.  The filing was made due to activity on January 16th.

The fine print of the 13D indicates that Senator entered into a Standby Purchase Agreement (on November 12th, 2013) where they would purchase all of the unsubscribed shares of common stock in the issuer's $100 million rights offering to existing shareholders.

Senator also nominated one of their employees to the board of the company.

Per Google Finance, Trade Street Residential is "a full service, vertically integrated, self-administered and self-managed corporation focused on acquiring, owning, operating and managing garden-style and mid-rise apartment communities in mid-sized cities and suburban submarkets primarily in the southeastern United States, including Texas."

You can view some of Senator's past portfolio activity here.


Wednesday, January 22, 2014

What We're Reading ~ Analytical Links 1/22/14

Trading in the Zone: Maximizing Performance with Focus and Discipline [Ari Kiev]

On the 180 rule and shorting stocks [Dasan]

The bull case on Delta Airlines [SPBaines]

Shinzo Abe on Abenomics 2014 [Reformed Broker]

On why EV/EBITDA is the most effective measure [Greenbackd]

Expert argues now is the time to invest in Europe [FINalternatives]

On the correlation between returns and ridicule [AVC]

Where to find the biggest ideas for your business [Forbes]

Retail store traffic has fallen & may just stay that way [WSJ]

Old Warren Buffett article: the security I like best [Base Hit Investing]

The complete history of Warren Buffett [Dividend]

Report on food and beverage industry in Latin America [ECLAC]

Why Bitcoin matters [Marc Andreessen]

Warren Buffett will give you $1 billion if you fill out a perfect March Madness Bracket [BI]


Greenlight Capital's Q4 Letter: New Positions in Micron, BP, & Anadarko Petroleum

David Einhorn's hedge fund Greenlight Capital returned 19.1% net in 2013.  Greenlight's fourth quarter letter to investors unveils their thesis on new positions in Micron Technology (MU), BP (BP), and Anadarko Petroleum (APC).

Greenlight likes Micron because the industry has started to act a bit more rationally and MU will buyback shares instead of building new factories.

Their BP stake is a play on increasingly shareholder friendly capital allocation policies as well and they think the company is worth $70 per share (it trades around $49 now).  

Additionally, their letter talks about some positions they've closed recently like Airbus Group (formerly EADS), and ThyssenKrupp.

At the end of 2013, Greenlight's largest positions in alphabetical order were: Apple (AAPL), General Motors (GM), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Micron (MU), and Vodafone (VOD).

Thanks to ValueWalk who posted up Greenlight's Q4 letter and you can view it below:




For more on Einhorn, we just yesterday revealed some more of Greenlight's recent portfolio activity.

And for more year-end hedge fund letters, head to Third Point's Q4 letter here.


Lone Pine Capital Starts SBA Communications Position

Steve Mandel's hedge fund firm Lone Pine Capital has disclosed a brand new position in SBA Communications (SBAC).  They filed a 13G with the SEC indicating they own 6.4% of the company with almost 8.2 million shares. The filing was required due to portfolio activity on January 8th.

While this is a new stake, they've had exposure to the wireless tower stock play via their position in Crown Castle International (CCI). 

Their new SBAC position, however, is much larger and it's a bit curious that they would all of a sudden initiate their position now.  The thesis and valuation has largely been unchanged.  

It's also worth highlighting though that SBAC has been a longstanding top position for hedge fund White Elm Capital.  White Elm was founded by Matthew Iorio and before launching his own fund, he worked at Lone Pine.

While the bull case on tower stocks has been a play on the proliferation of wireless data usage, the bear case seemingly hinges on a potential rising interest rate environment and potential consolidation in the wireless carriers.

Per Google Finance, SBA Communications is "an independent owner and operator of wireless communications towers. The Company’s principal operations are in the United States and its territories."

We recently detailed some of Lone Pine's other portfolio activity here.


Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Third Point Q4 Letter: New Positions in Dow Chemical & T-Mobile

Dan Loeb's Third Point Offshore Fund is out with its fourth quarter 2013 letter.  In it, they reveal performance of 25.2% for the year.

Third Point's Q4 letter outlines their thesis on Dow Chemical (DOW), now their largest position.  They want the company to look into potentially spinning off its petrochemical business and to return capital to shareholders via buyback.

They also detail their thoughts on Ally Financial, a position they've been involved with since 2011 via various plays in the capital structure.  They look for the company to complete an IPO after undergoing a massive restructuring.

Lastly, the hedge fund highlights their thesis on Softbank, Sony (SNE) and T-Mobile (TMUS).  The latter is a brand new position they established during the company's secondary offering at $25 in November.

Embedded below is Third Point's year-end investor letter:




For more on this hedgie, we've also highlighted Third Point's other activity here.


Greenlight Capital Adds to Cairn Energy Stake

David Einhorn's hedge fund Greenlight Capital has added to its stake in London-listed oil and gas exploration company Cairn Energy (LON:CNE). 

Due to trading on January 16th, Greenlight increased their stake from 3% to 4.22% of Cairn's voting rights.  Approximately 20% is held via a total return swap, while the rest is held via common stock.

This stock has largely traded sideways since Greenlight first disclosed a holding in Cairn back in March of 2012.

Per Google Finance, Cairn Energy PLC (Cairn) is "an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. It is organized into two business units: Capricorn Group, being Capricorn Oil Limited and its subsidiary undertakings, and the Cairn India Group. There are two operating segments. Cairn India Limited Group’s operations are primarily within India."

For more on this hedge fund, you can view our previous updates on Greenlight Capital here.


Children's Investment Fund Trims Royal Mail Stake

Christopher Hohn's Children's Investment Fund has recently sized down its holdings of Royal Mail.  Previously, they owned 5.8% and now they own just under 4.6%.  They've sold around 12 million shares.

Royal Mail went public late last year and soared higher.  Children's Investment Fund was a big beneficiary as they were the largest shareholder. 

As such, it looks like Hohn's fund has locked in some profits.  According to fund documents, the firm returned well over 40% in 2013, with Royal Mail obviously contributing to those gains.