Corsair Capital's Investment Thesis on DigitalGlobe: Q2 Letter

Jay Petschek and Steve Major's Corsair Capital is out with its Q2 2012 investor letter.  In it, they outline their investment thesis on a core position: DigitalGlobe (DGI).  Additionally, they provide updates on Six Flags (SIX), Innophos (IPHS), Aperam (APAM), and TNS (TNS).

Corsair's DigitalGlobe Thesis

Note: the below was written before the announcement that Digital Globe would be merging with GeoEye (GEOY).  Under the terms, GeoEye shareholders will elect either 1.137 shares of DigitalGlobe and $4.10 per share in cash, or 100% of the consideration in cash ($20.27), or 100% of the consideration in stock (1.425 shares of DGI for each share of GEOY owned).  The transaction marks a 34% premium to to GEOY's previous closing price.

For those interested, here's Corsair's original DGI thesis:

One of the hedge fund's core positions is US satellite imaging company, DigitalGlobe (DGI), which provides real-time and archived images from 3 satellites.  DGI co-developed Google Earth as well as Apple's new Maps product.  The company received a takeover offer from competitor GeoEye (GEOY) for $17 per share but DGI rejected it.

Corsair sees strong leadership and expects the company to create value via dividends, share repurchases and "disciplined M&A."  The government effectively represents 50% of their revenue, so that is certainly a risk and is why the stock sold off so hard in February (government spending cuts).  Corsair's view was that the stock already reflected a worst-case scenario and 2012 is a transformational year.  You can read their full case in the letter below. 


Unrelated, but also worth highlighting from the letter: they cite Jim Grant of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, pointing out a potential contrarian signal for equities, noting that "this is the first time in 12 years that pension managers are putting more money into fixed income securities than equities, whereas, just a few years ago they were putting twice as much into equities than in bonds."

Embedded below is Corsair Capital's full Q2 letter:




For more on this hedge fund, head to Corsair's thesis on SunCoke Energy.

Corsair Capital Provides Updates on Their Positions: Q1 Letter

Jay Petschek and Steven Major's hedge fund Corsair Capital is out with their Q1 letter and in it they detail updates on their investments in: LyondellBasell (LYB), Shaw Group (SHAW), Republic Airways (RJET), Neo Material Technologies (NEM) and TNS (TNS).

Given that LYB has been owned by numerous hedge funds, we wanted to highlight their commentary:

LyondellBasell (LYB) - "Though the company reported a weak Q4 as expected, the market anticipates record-low gas prices will continue to suppress ethane prices, one of LYB's main input costs, thereby supporting high ethylene margins.  If current ethane prices are sustainable, the industry could enter a 'super-cycle' where LYB would show earnings previously not thought possible.  The company also took advantage of the current strong credit markets and refinanced $3 billion of debt, benefitting by both extending maturities and lowering interest payments."


Also, the fund addressed their position in Shaw Group (SHAW): "two of its main customers received the final requisite Nuclear Regulatory Commission licensing to construct two new nuclear power plants and the EPA's increased environmental standards drove power plant maintenance contract wins.  The company also reported a strong fiscal Q2 and the upcoming divestiture of the Energy and Chemicals division in the next few months should create additional shareholder value.  We estimate that SHAW could earn $3.00/share in FY 2013, which would increase its net cash position to over $17.00/share."

We've previously posted up Corsair's investment thesis on Shaw Industries for further color.



Embedded below is Corsair Capital's Q1 letter:



Later this morning we also posted up Corsair's investment thesis on SunCoke Energy.

Corsair Capital: Is Negativity "Priced In" the Market? (Q3 Letter)

Jay Petschek and Steve Major's hedge fund Corsair Capital outline how their portfolio has performed in their third quarter letter. They pinpoint the notion that fear has been driving markets for the past few months. Instead of focusing on hindsight, they look to what investors should be doing today.

Simply put, Corsair does not believe this is a repeat of 2008. They point to better liquidity, solid corporate balance sheets, and insider buying. While they acknowledge that things are not "rosy," they wonder if all the negativity is now priced in the market.

Their letter goes on to talk about their positions in Globe Specialty Metals (GSM), Lyondell Basell (LYB), Neo-Material Technologies (TSE:NEM), Reader's Digest (RDA), and TNS (TNS). They also mention they sold their position in Keystone Industries (KYCN) in a negotiated transaction.

For some of the hedge fund's latest investments, we posted Corsair's investment thesis on Shaw Group (SHAW).

Embedded below is Corsair's letter (email readers click the link to come read it):




As noted in our September hedge fund performance numbers update, Corsair was -9.5% for the year at the end of September but has seen 14.2% annualized returns since inception in 1991.

Corsair Capital Sees Increased Market Volatility Ahead (Q2 Letter)

Jay Petschek's hedge fund firm Corsair Capital Management finished the second quarter up 0.2% net, bringing them to up 6.2% for the year. They've turned in a solid 15.3% annualized return since 1991 and are one of our favorite funds to track.

Last quarter, we highlighted that Corsair anticipated increased M&A activity. Their second quarter letter focuses on the 2011 market landscape thus far and macro concerns.

They write, "there seems to be a delicate balance worldwide between stimulating economic growth and keeping prices of basic necessities within an affordable range ... we believe this uncertainty only increases general investor skittishness and market volatility."

Portfolio Updates

They also update their various positions by noting that they continue to expect Innophos (IPHS) to earn $5.00 of adjusted EPS in 2012, surpass market expectations, and trade at a 15x multiple. We've previously covered Corsair's bullish case on Innophos.

They continue to like their stake in Expedia (EXPE) as the company announced the impending spin-off of its TripAdvisor segment. The current issue of our Hedge Fund Wisdom newsletter lays out the investment thesis on EXPE in detail for those interested.

Corsair also updated their stakes in Maiden Holdings (MHLD), KAR Auction Services (KAR), and Pace Oil & Gas (PCE). Their letter also includes a write-up on their new investment in TNS Inc (TNS).

Embedded below is Corsair's Q2 letter (email readers come to the site to view it):