Pershing Square Trims Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Position

Bill Ackman's activist investment firm Pershing Square Capital has filed an amended 13D with the SEC regarding its position in Automatic Data Processing (ADP).  Per the filing, Pershing now owns 7.2% of the company with 31.79 million shares.

It notes that, Pershing "sold a net amount of 5,004,633 shares of Common Stock and American-style call options for portfolio management purposes.”  You can view the full list of transactions here.

For more on this fund, we highlighted some other recent portfolio activity from Pershing Square here.

Per Google Finance, ADP is "a provider of human capital management (HCM) solutions to employers, offering solutions to businesses of various sizes. The Company also provides business process outsourcing solutions. Its segments include Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO) Services. The Employer Services segment offers a range of human resources (HR) business process outsourcing and technology-enabled HCM solutions. These offerings include payroll services, benefits administration, talent management, HR management, time and attendance management, insurance services, retirement services, and tax and compliance services. ADP TotalSource, ADP's PEO business, offers small and mid-sized businesses a HR outsourcing solution through a co-employment model. As a PEO, ADP TotalSource provides HR management services while the client continues to direct the day-to-day job-related duties of the employees."

Pershing Square Portfolio Update Presentation: Nike, S&P Global & More

Bill Ackman's activist firm Pershing Square recently made a presentation to investors about the current state of their portfolio and how they're re-tooling the organization after a few years of poor performance.  In 2017, Pershing was down 4%.

The presentation provides brief updates on all their holdings, including their new Nike (NKE) stake.


Pershing Square on New Nike Stake (NKE)

They bought Nike because it's "a high quality business that should compound long-term earnings at a high rate due to strong revenue growth and margin expansion."

They see it as an iconic brand with a dominant market position.  The company has assets via patents, a huge marketing budget, brand loyalty, manufacturing skill, and leverage with suppliers and customers.

Pershing thinks the company can continue to grow revenue in the high single digits.  They note positive secular trends of health/wellness and emerging market growth as key contributors, as well as pricing power.

The firm sees Nike expanding margins via new manufacturing processes and growth in distribution channels with "more favorable economics."


Ackman Bought & Sold S&P Global (SPGI)

The presentation also reveals that Pershing Square was buying shares of S&P Global (SPGI) during 2017 but sold the stake because they couldn't build a full position size as markets rose.

Their thesis was that "S&P is an annuity-like business with pricing power, strong secular growth and a margin opportunity."  It's a credit ratings and financial data services firm with the former comprising 55% of EBIT and the latter 45%.


Lastly, Pershing Square also bought an undisclosed position but sold that as well.  It's interesting that they aren't revealing the name.  Does this mean perhaps they might want to revisit it if the share price hits a level they're comfortable with? Who knows.

The presentation also includes updates on their stakes in: ADP, Chipotle, Howard Hughes, Mondelez,  Restaurant Brands, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac, Platform Specialty Products, and their short of Herbalife (HLF).

Embedded below is Pershing Square's portfolio update presentation:



For more from this fund you can also read Pershing Square's Q3 letter.

Pershing Square Q3 Letter: Restructures Herbalife Short

Bill Ackman is out with Pershing Square's third quarter letter to investors.  Pershing Square returned -3.7% net in the third quarter and was down 4.2% for the year at that time.

Pershing has restructured its short position in Herbalife (HLF).  Rather than shorting common stock, they've covered that and are now short via put options.

Ackman is also quite bullish on Mondelez (MDLZ): "We believe MDLZ is currently substantially undervalued given its high business quality, long-term secular growth potential - especially in emerging markets - and substantial opportunity to improve profit margins.  Today, Mondelez trades at 17 times our estimate for 2018 earnings per share, a discount to the S&P 500 market multiple, for a business whose attributes are substantially better than the average company in the S&P 500."

The letter also provides updates on their holdings: Restaurant Brands (QSR), ADP (ADP), Howard Hughes (HHC), Chipotle (CMG), Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac, Platform Specialty Products (PAH).

Embedded below is Pershing Square's Q3 letter:



For more recent hedge fund commentary, we've also posted up Third Point's Q3 letter as well as Greenlight Capital's Q3 letter.

Notes From Great Investors Best Ideas Conference (GIBI) Dallas 2017: Ackman, Einhorn & More

The 11th annual Great Investors Best Ideas (GIBI) Dallas Investment Symposium just took place where managers shared investment ideas to benefit The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Research and Vickery Meadow Youth Development Foundation.  Below are some brief notes on the event:


Notes From GIBI Dallas Conference 2017

David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital

Still owns a huge position in General Motors (GM) but has been trimming it since it's grown too large (risk management, position sizing, etc).  Still his largest position by a longshot though.  Still thinks it's very cheap and points to an opportunity for a new shareholder base to get into shares.  Likes they've gotten rid of its riskiest international business and is investing in autonomous cars and electric vehicles: the future.

He also likes Tempur Sealy (TPX).  Thinks estimates are way too low (notes that management's incentives are way higher).  The company had a dispute with Mattress Firm and stopped selling its mattresses there.  Despite that, customers still actively sought out the TempurPedic brand, so the co is replacing its lost Mattress Firm sales elsewhere at higher margins.  Thinks there's also a reasonable chance MF comes back to them since MF has lost sales.

Einhorn said that his 'bubble basket' of shorts in highflying tech stocks like Amazon and Tesla are valued like profits don't matter ... ever.  He says eventually people will wake up and profits will matter and their stocks will crater.  He also pointed to somewhat of a cult following status that is attached to Tesla's stock with all the hype that Elon Musk continuously builds with various projects.  There's around 30 stocks in Einhorn's bubble basket.   He noted he owns a Tesla, but also points out that the company probably lost $20-30k selling it.  Says company hasn't figured out how to make cars profitable on a unit basis.  You can also read Greenlight Capital's Q2 letter here.


Bill Ackman, Pershing Square Capital

Pitched his newest long: Automatic Data Processing (ADP).  Has an activist position.  Thinks it's a quality business: simple, not capital intensive, secular tailwinds (sees lots of growth ahead).  Automating employees.  Ackman thinks the stock's a double.  We've posted Ackman's presentation on ADP previously.

Also mentioned the GSEs he's involved with: Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac.  Still owns and thinks there's huge upside there.  He originally pitched these plays three years ago at the same conference.  Thinks they will eventually trade multiples higher of where they are now.

He's still short Herbalife (HLF) and has lost millions on the bet as the stocks' up around 40% from his average short price.  Said that of the risk factors considered for the position, Carl Icahn coming in and buying 20+% of the company wasn't one he considered.

Noted he still owns Howard Hughes (HHC) and while he doesn't see any immediate catalysts, thinks it's a long-term play as a high quality business.

Says average investor can be plenty concentrated with 10-15 holdings.  Biggest mistake of his career?  Not selling when new information emerged that didn't jive with his investment thesis.  You can read Pershing Square's Q2 letter here.



Tom Russo. Gardner Russo Gardner

Spoke about global brands and various companies still controlled by the founding families.  His best idea was the company hit with a scandal and PR crisis: Wells Fargo (WFC).  Previously he had noted how his WFC stake has remain unchanged (around 6% of his assets) and that he thought the company simply became too fixated singly on one variable (cross-selling) which lead to a bunch of accounts being opened in customers names.  The company now suffers from poor optics but on a risk level, direct financial harm has been modest and he has faith in the legal process.



Andrew Wellington, Lyrical Asset Management

A couple of picks:  Flex Ltd (FLEX), co is seeing double digit growth in its bottom line and 50% of FCF going to shareholders.  Trading around 12x earnings.

Affiliated Managers Group (AMG): asset management play, owns equity stakes in boutique management firms.  Says they own really good managers.  Trading around 12x NTM earnings.



Van Hoisington, Wasatch-Hoisington US Treasury Fund

He concluded that we're heading to a recession as the Fed has restrictive policies already in effect and money and credit are slowing noticeably.  Structural impediments to growth are over-indebtedness globally as well as adverse demographics.  Thinks rates will stay lower. 



Jeanie Wyatt, South Texas Money Management

A few ideas: Citigroup (C) as a value play.  Thinks it could re-rate from almost 1x book value to closer to 1.4x.  Since the crisis the company has a better situation and less subprime.

KAR Auction Services (KAR):  notes 20% EPS growth, end markets that are accelerating as well.  Trading just over 22x next year's earnings but with a big opportunity ahead as various leases will be coming to term.

Electronic Arts (EA): video game stock that's benefited from going over the top (OTT) as it leads to higher margins than the typical video game distribution model of physical games, etc.  Accelerating sales growth.  Also sees new potential upside in e-sports. 

Vodafone (VOD): Stock has traded sideways but the company has improved in end markets.  Thinks it offers good downside protection as sales growth has accelerated.


For more stock picks from recent investment conferences, we posted up notes from the Sohn San Francisco Conference yesterday.

Pershing Square Q2 Letter: Sold Undisclosed Hilton Stake

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square has put out its mid-year report which includes commentary on their investments.  They also disclose that they previously owned a stake in Hilton (HLT) but recently sold it after the spin-offs took place.

In the letter, they also write about their latest investment, Automatic Data Processing (ADP):

"ADP is a classic Pershing Square investment. It is a simple, predictable, free-cash-flow generative business that has under performed its potential. As a conservatively financed, capital-light business with long-term customer relationships in a sector with substantial positive growth, we believe it has modest downside. If it is able to achieve its potential, we believe it offers substantial upside. We acquired ADP for the funds along with a co-investment vehicle (PSVI) which we recently raised to increase our ownership of the company.  We believe that ADP is one of the highest quality businesses we have owned, and one which offers an enormous opportunity for operational improvement.

They also provide an update on their stake in Chipotle (CMG), noting that the company has battled another setback with a norovirus incident in Virginia.  That said, Pershing feels that the company is still on the right track.  They write,

"We made our investment in Chipotle anticipating that the sales recovery would be neither smooth nor predictable,but with a belief that the key drivers of Chipotle’s powerful economic moat and long-term success would remain intact. With the steps that the company has taken to improve its business, we continue to believe there is an enormous long-term growth opportunity for Chipotle given: (1) the significant potential to drive sales per restaurant higher through mobile and digital ordering, menu innovation, catering, and improved operations, (2) the opportunity to expand its vastly under penetrated restaurant base in the U.S., and (3) the considerable potential to build the brand internationally."

Their letter also touches on Mondelez (MDLZ), Howard Hughes (HHC), Air Products (APD), Restaurant Brands (QSR), Platform Specialty Products (PAH), Nomad Foods (NOMD), and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac, as well its short position: Herbalife (HLF).


Embedded below is Pershing Square's Q2 letter:



You can download a .pdf copy here.

Pershing Square's ADP Presentation

Bill Ackman's activist investment firm Pershing Square has a new position: Automatic Data Processing (ADP).  The firm recently released a slideshow presentation on their investment.

Their transformation plan for ADP includes the following:

- Fix corporate structure, corporate bloat and inefficiency
- Accelerate investments in product and back-end improvements
- Accelerate product migrations
- Reduce excess support personnel, focus on value-add services
- Increase sales force productivity

As a result, they see the company increasing growth and margins.  Pershing has also been trying to gain board representation but so far has been unsuccessful.  

Embedded below is Pershing Square's ADP Presentation: "The Time Is Now"



You can download a .pdf copy here.

For more information, they've also started a website on their stake: www.adpascending.com

Pershing Square Builds Automatic Data Processing Stake

Recently, Bloomberg reported that Bill Ackman's activist firm Pershing Square Capital Management had built a stake in Automatic Data Processing (ADP).  Then today, Ackman told CNBC that he's "still buying the stock as of this morning" and that he is "not seeking control of the company."

Per Ackman's recent interview, he feels the company can expand profit margins by more than 50%.  Pershing now reportedly owns 8% of the company mainly via derivatives.

Apparently, Ackman was seeking to push back the board nomination window.  ADP responded: "The Board has unanimously determined that it is not in the best interests of ADP or its other shareholders to accede to Pershing Square's last-minute request for an extension."

ADP also appeared to take a dig at Pershing in its statement as well: "Since Carlos Rodriguez became CEO nearly six years ago, ADP's total shareholder return of 202% is well in excess of the S&P 500 TSR of 128% - and is many multiples of Pershing's TSR of 29%."

For more on this fund, we've also highlighted other recent portfolio activity from Pershing Square here.

Per Google Finance, Automatic Data Processing is "a provider of human capital management (HCM) solutions to employers, offering solutions to businesses of various sizes. The Company also provides business process outsourcing solutions. Its segments include Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO) Services. The Employer Services segment offers a range of human resources (HR) business process outsourcing and technology-enabled HCM solutions. These offerings include payroll services, benefits administration, talent management, HR management, time and attendance management, insurance services, retirement services, and tax and compliance services. ADP TotalSource, ADP's PEO business, offers small and mid-sized businesses a HR outsourcing solution through a co-employment model. As a PEO, ADP TotalSource provides HR management services while the client continues to direct the day-to-day job-related duties of the employees."

Susan Byrne's Investment Outlook: Likes Kapstone Paper & Media Nusantara

We're posting up notes from the Great Investors' Best Ideas Investment Symposium in Dallas and next up is Susan Byrne of Westwood Holdings.  Westwood serves various institutional clients and manages $15 billion.


Byrne's Investment Outlook

She started by focusing on Westwood's outlook that in the next 1-3 years we'll see slow below potential GDP growth.  She disagrees with Lee Cooperman a little bit. She's more positive on corporate earnings and likes playing high quality names globally.

Byrne thinks we'll see rising but tame inflation and she likes to play companies that have yields higher than the S&P 500.  She said that the "ultimate risk instrument is stocks" so you need some insulation/protection in the form of a dividend.

She likes companies that grow dividends and put up a chart of the likes of Microsoft (MSFT), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Honeywell (HON), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), General Electric (GE), and Automatic Data Processing (ADP).  She points out that all of these have equity yielding more than their bonds.

Byrne feels the S&P is "somewhat undervalued" by 10-12% and she wants to beat inflation with dividend yields.  She said to look at emerging markets, in particular Indonesia.


Byrne's Stock Picks

And speaking of Indonesia, she had a stock pick from that country via shares of Media Nusantara (PTMEY via ADR), an advertising company there.  She points out that they're growing advertising by 22% a year and you can play it in the domestic market or via ADR.  The company has a 2% dividend and a mid-teens multiple.


Byrne also pitched a domestic small-cap play via Kapstone Paper (KS).  It trades at 5x EV/EBITDA, has a 10% free cash flow yield and the company's price increases for their products are holding.


For the rest of the presentations, head to notes from the Great Investors' Best Ideas conference.

Pershing Square Q3 Letter: Ackman Provides Updates on Positions

Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square's third quarter letter is pretty much an investor's dream. The manager provides commentary and updates on practically all of his positions and is the epitome of transparency. But then again, it's not necessarily that hard when you run such a highly concentrated book like Ackman does. Pershing Square of course is one of the 23 prominent hedge fund portfolios we detail and analyze in the new issue of our Hedge Fund Wisdom publication.

Pershing Square has returned 292.7% net of all fees since inception in 2004. For 2010, their main fund is up 7.6% year-to-date. The only real noticeable change in their portfolio is that they exited Landry's Restaurants, as the company was bought out.

Fortune Brands (FO)

A while back we highlighted Ackman's new position in Fortune Brands (FO). His letter highlights that he thinks their Spirits business is a great consumer niche as it has high barriers to entry, sustainable profit margins, and economic resiliency. What's comical here is that Ackman filed a 13D signifying his activist intent with the investment and even though he hasn't really done much in that regard yet, the stock is already up 40% since he purchased it. It appears though that management will work with Ackman to unlock value.

J.C. Penney (JCP)

The other new position in Pershing Square's portfolio is J.C. Penney (JCP). Ackman likes JCP's cheap valuation, solid assets, and brand name. Their average purchase price was $25.28 and the stock already trades north of $33. The hedge fund manager doesn't necessarily outline his thesis in the letter, though he does point out Vornado Realty Trust's (VNO) involvement in the stock. The publicly traded REIT also acquired a large ownership in JCP shares. In the past, we've highlighted Ackman's potential JCP real estate thesis.

Ackman notes that his firm sold some shares of their Kraft (KFT) and Target (TGT) positions to finance the purchase of their two new positions. The rest of Pershing Square's letter delves into updates regarding their positions in Automatic Data Processing (ADP), General Growth Properties (GGP), Howard Hughes (HHC), Corrections Corp (CXW), and Citigroup (C). This was interesting mainly because it's been a while since we heard from Ackman regarding his Corrections Corp position, a name we originally posted his investment thesis on.

Embedded below is Pershing Square Capital Management's third quarter letter to investors:



You can download a .pdf copy here.

In other recent investment ideas from Ackman, he recently declared he is bullish on housing. And interestingly enough, John Paulson says to buy housing as well.

T2 Partners Bullish on Automatic Data Processing (ADP): Latest Investor Letter

In an industry typically shrouded in secrecy, Whitney Tilson's fund bucks the trend. Why? He recently said that, "we choose to share some of our ideas and analyses publicly not for marketing or ego reasons, but because it helps us make money for our investors, in three primary ways: a) when it is widely known that we have a position in a particular stock, we often hear from other investors who share valuable information or analyses; b) invariably, some people have the polar opposite view of a particular stock and, in sharing it with us, they can help us identify things we might have missed in our analysis; and c) when we share our ideas, it creates reciprocity and others share their best ideas with us."

Tilson and Glenn Tongue's hedge fund, T2 Partners, is out with their September letter to investors. T2 recently started a new position in Automatic Data Processing (ADP), citing high switching costs for customers, 20% operating margins, and solid management. He also points out that it is 4x bigger than its closest competitor. Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square started a new position in ADP during the second quarter as well, which we highlighted months ago in our newsletter Hedge Fund Wisdom.

Assessing the full situation, Tilson points out that ADP's growth has stalled and the stock isn't necessarily "cheap" as it trades at 17.4x trailing EPS. Tilson believes low interest rates and unemployment are weighing on the stock in the near-term but it is poised to outperform over the long haul. You can read the full thesis in Tilson's letter below.

We also see that T2 Partners remains short a basket of for-profit education stocks even after the recent declines. Tilson feels that these companies will face big challenges from new regulations, continued bad publicity, and a sharp cut in their long-term profit growth.

Over the months, we've detailed how the for-profit education space is a battleground amongst hedge funds. Richard Blum's hedge fund Blum Capital has been buying ITT Educational (ESI). Steve Eisman of FrontPoint Partners led the charge against these companies with his original presentation, "Subprime Goes to College." Tilson continues to share Eisman's view (for the time being at least).

Embedded below is T2 Partners' latest letter to investors where they detail the bull cases for Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Iridium (IRDM):



You can download a .pdf copy here.

Secondly, we've also included a link to T2 Partners' presentation from the Value Investing Congress, entitled "Our View of the Market, An Update on the Housing Market, and Two Stock Ideas." The two investments they detail include BP (BP) and Liberty Acquisition/Grupo Prisa (LIA). You can download a .pdf copy here.

Finally, we've posted summaries of the various speaker presentations and you can view comprehensive notes from the Value Investing Congress here.

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Dumps McDonald's & EMC: 13F Filing Analysis

(This post is part of our series on tracking hedge fund portfolios. If you're unfamiliar with tracking investments they disclose via SEC filings, check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.)

Next up we have Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management. Ackman runs a value and activist fund with a highly concentrated portfolio so they are ideal for tracking purposes. He received his degree from Harvard and his MBA from Harvard Business School. For investment insight from Ackman, check out his recent television appearance and Pershing's investor letter. For more information on the hedge fund, check out our profile of Bill Ackman & Pershing Square.

The positions listed below were their long equity, note, and options holdings as of December 31st, 2009 as filed with the SEC. Note that we are only covering the major portfolio maneuvers. All holdings are common stock unless otherwise denoted.


Brand New Positions
Hyatt (H) *see special note regarding this position below
Landry's Restaurant's (LNY) ~ see our previous coverage of this addition


Increased Positions
Corrections Corp of America (CXW): Increased by 48.7%


Reduced Positions
Automatic Data Processing (ADP): Reduced by 98%
Target (TGT): Reduced by 20%


Removed Positions (Sold out completely):
EMC (EMC)
McDonald's (MCD)


Top Holdings by percentage of assets reported on 13F filing

1. Target (TGT): 71.17%
2. Corrections Corp of America (CXW): 19%
3. Hyatt Hotels (H): 5.84%
4. Landry's Restaurants (LNY): 2.34%
5. Borders Group (BGP): 0.89%
6. Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE): 0.42%
7. Automatic Data Processing (ADP): 0.35%
   

Firstly, realize that the above list is not complete. We already saw that in January 2010, Ackman made Kraft (KFT) their largest holding and we detailed Pershing's presentation on KFT. Since the above positions were as of December 31st, their KFT stake doesn't show up. Additionally, as detailed in Ackman's previous investor letter, Pershing has started a Nestle position as well that doesn't show up in the filing.

Pershing Square also shows a new position in Hyatt Hotels (H) as of December 31st, 2009. However, this gets a little tricky as they also filed an amended 13G that shows Pershing owning 0 shares as of January 7th, 2010. So, upon inspection, it appears as if Pershing bought shares of H in the fourth quarter of 2009 and then sold out of the position in the first week of 2010. We're looking into this situation deeper to confirm this was the case, as we could have misinterpreted this.

The biggest story in Pershing's portfolio will be the removal of their McDonald's (MCD) and EMC (EMC) positions, both previously sizable stakes. Additionally, they sold practically all of their ADP as well. They had been buying shares of these companies over the past two quarters but decided to dump them recently. Ackman's hedge funds run highly concentrated portfolios and as such each shift is typically a major one. They also started a new stake in Landry's, and we already covered this addition when it happened.

Additionally, we see that Pershing added to their stake in Corrections Corp of America and we have previously posted Pershing's presentation on CXW. On the other side of the portfolio, we also know that Pershing has been short Realty Income (O) and we posted up their short thesis here.

Keep in mind that Pershing still owns General Growth Properties (GGWPQ) but that stake does not appear on the filing as it's not deemed a reportable security by SEC standards (most likely due to it's OTC trading nature since it has been going through bankruptcy). And, as far as we know, they still own both equity and unsecured debt. Pershing will be happy to see that Simon Property Group recently bid for GGP, but will be unhappy at the offered price, arguing that GGP is worth more than that. We've long detailed Pershing's bullish analysis of the mall REIT operator. In the past we've presented Pershing's original GGP thesis and their recently updated analysis.

Assets from the collective holdings reported to the SEC via 13F filing were $1.4 billion this quarter compared to $3.1 billion last quarter, so a notable decline in assets invested on the long side. Remember that these filings are not representative of the hedge fund's entire base of assets under management. Therefore, the figures above represent the percentage of their reported 13F assets, not their entire portfolio.

We'll be tracking 40+ prominent funds in our fourth quarter 2009 hedge fund portfolio tracking series. We've already covered Seth Klarman's Baupost Group, Mohnish Pabrai's Investment Fund, Carl Icahn's hedge fund Icahn Partners, David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital, and Stephen Mandel's Lone Pine Capital. Check back daily for our new updates.

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Boosts McDonald's Stake (MCD)

This is the third quarter 2009 edition of our hedge fund portfolio tracking series. If you're unfamiliar with tracking hedge fund movements or SEC filings, check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.

Yesterday we kicked off our coverage with the most requested hedge fund by readers: Seth Klarman's Baupost Group. Today, we're continuing our coverage with another highly requested fund: Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management. Ackman is a well known value oriented and activist hedge fund manager who often takes large stakes in companies. For a more in-depth look at Bill Ackman, head to our profile of Pershing Square here.

Ackman's fund is good to track via SEC filings because he runs a very concentrated equities portfolio and typically holds the names for a longer timeframe. This way, the timelag associated with SEC filings is not detrimental to our coverage. Not to mention, Ackman typically takes larger stakes in companies which often require 13G or 13D forms to be filed so we are always on top of his portfolio maneuvers. And, our coverage of his portfolio via his latest 13F highlights just why it is prudent to monitor all SEC filings by any given manager.

Keep in mind that the positions listed below were their long equity, note, and options holdings as of September 30th, 2009 as filed with the SEC. We don't cover every single portfolio maneuver, as we instead focus on all the big moves. All holdings are common stock unless otherwise denoted.


Some New Positions (Brand new positions that they initiated last quarter):
Corrections Corp of America (CXW) - See Ackman's presentation on this play


Some Increased Positions (Positions they already owned but added shares to)
McDonald's (MCD): Increased by 243.6%
Target (TGT): Increased by 4.6%


Flat Positions (No change since Q2)
Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE)
EMC (EMC)
Borders (BGP)


Some Reduced Positions (Some positions they sold shares in)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP): Reduced by 15.7%


Removed Positions (Positions they sold out of completely)
n/a


Pershing's Entire Portfolio (by percentage of assets reported on 13F filing)

1. Target (TGT): 38.80%
2. EMC (EMC): 31.95%
3. McDonalds (MCD): 15.04%
4. Automatic Data Processing (ADP): 7.68%
5. Corrections Corp of America (CXW): 5.32%
6. Borders Group (BGP): 1.05%
7. Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE): 0.15%
   

As we mentioned earlier, Pershing Square runs a very concentrated portfolio. Target makes up the bulk of their holdings but keep in mind that much of that is due to their Pershing Square IV hedge fund that holds Target as its only position. The only new addition to Pershing Square's portfolio is that of Corrections Corp of America (CXW). We had already detailed his thesis behind this investment from his presentation at the Value Investing Congress. The other notable change to their portfolio was the boost in their MCD position and Ackman detailed some of his thoughts on this investment in his Q2 investor letter.

While SEC filings do not require funds to disclose short positions, we do know that one of Ackman's shorts is real estate play Realty Income (O). Previously, we posted up Pershing's presentation on O which laid out why he thinks it will have to cut its dividend, sending its retail investor base fleeing.

The fact that we know one of Ackman's shorts in addition to almost all of his longs has made readers wonder why investors are willing to pay management and performance fees for his hedge fund when the majority of his positions are readily disclosed. The counterpoint to that question would be the fact that you don't know *all* of his shorts, nor can you put on his positions that are institutional in nature. Typical investors usually don't have access to credit default swaps (CDS), a tool Ackman likes to use for putting on his short plays. And, in addition to his equity plays, Ackman also has various positions in the debt markets (General Growth Properties being a prime example). So, while you can create a semi-Pershing portfolio simply through their equity plays, you can't entirely replicate their portfolio solely through SEC filings.

Those of you avidly tracking the General Growth Properties (GGWPQ) situation will note that it is not present in this 13F filing. This is *not* because he has sold out. Pershing still holds GGWPQ debt and equity. It is simply not listed because the SEC has deemed GGWPQ to no longer be a reportable security for 13F filings. This is most likely due to the fact that they are no longer listed on the exchange (GGWPQ is traded in OTC markets). The main thing to take away from this is the fact that we will still see Ackman's moves in GGWPQ through Form 4 filings since he is now on the board of directors. For more info on their position, Ackman's Q2 investor letter briefly touches on GGWPQ here.

Post-13F, Pershing Square has also recently revealed a position in Landry's Restaurants (LNY) but due to the complex nature of that situation we will be penning a separate post on the details shortly.

Assets from the collective holdings reported to the SEC via 13F filing were $3.1 billion this quarter compared to $2.26 billion last quarter, a notable increase in assets invested in long equities. Please keep in mind that when we state "percentage of portfolio," we are referring to the percentage of assets reported on the 13F filing. Since these filings only report longs (and not shorts or cash positions), the percentages are skewed. Realistically, the position percentages are more watered down in their actual hedge fund portfolio since their actual AUM is a figure much larger than what is reported on a 13F.

This is just one of the 40+ prominent funds that we'll be covering in our Q3 2009 hedge fund portfolio series. We've already covered Seth Klarman's Baupost Group so check back daily as we'll be posting up a new hedge fund each day.